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A Vaccine Is Coming?

Winter is coming in every way…the health crisis facing the world is at an infection point, and comparisons to the deadly Spanish flu in 1918 are appropriate to show how mismanagement of an initial outbreak of disease can be manifested in an even deadlier second-wave or third-wave recurrences in the US and Europe now.

A nation with the scientific and medical expertise of the United States should have been able to deal with the Covid-19 pandemic and should have been able to avoid or minimize a deadly second-wave. Decades of ascendancy of a socio-economic theory that advocated looking out for their own interest first and foremost, I’d argue, has already done a pretty good job of preparing them for what they’re “about to become.” It would seem that’s an unfortunate byproduct of allowing the market to determine the good and the consequent privatization of everything that has been atrophying for years under its’ own neoliberalism that failed to ‘act collectively’ in the face of a crisis.

To some extent, it might be said, that the USA is betting on a vaccine, rather than undertaking the vigorous efforts that eradicating the virus with massive testing and contact tracing would entail. With the other coronaviruses MERS and SARS, the companies that were developing vaccines never got to commercialize them, because, in the developed countries, the outbreaks were ended by identifying those infected, tracing all of those in contact with anyone infected and isolating those individuals as necessary. That is occurring now in countries like Taiwan, NZ that are making good progress.

Besides political pressure to develop a vaccine so quickly, there is a massive investment riding on a vaccine for hundreds of companies, many of which have already invested in the infrastructure needed to quickly produce and distribute the vaccine once approved. This massive pre-investment increases the time pressure and incentive to ‘cut corners’. While a vaccine will probably eventually come, it’s effectiveness and distribution remain as issues that can only be addressed with time.

There’s no vaccine for SARs, the common cold, etc. in spite of working on them for decades in many cases. Even if vaccination takes place on a large scale at some point, there will be lack of knowledge about when immunity kicks in and how long it will last. The phenomenon of asymptomatic shedding means, even if you got vaccinated and you feel good, you might still be infecting people. And you might experience other clinical issues in the future.

Even flu vaccines are a crap shoot at best. Last years vaccines weren’t much help against the strains that appear. And viruses also mutate. As of now there are somewhere between 6-12 different strains of C19, and we’ll see more. So even a C19 vaccine may end up being no different from the flu – that it protects against certain strains only, and isn’t a universal shield. Further, many virus vaccines don’t confer permanent immunity. They last several months at best.

Given the massive amount of political pressure and monetary investment riding on the quick development of a vaccine, it’s totally reasonable for anyone to be skeptical. Maybe the trade-off of a hastily, not 100% proven vaccine will be worth it to protect certain populations. Otherwise, we are simply on a fool’s errand to believe a vaccine will come along to serve as a silver bullet, thus ending the pandemic which will in turn allows life to “return to normal”.

But if others like me, want to adopt a more careful wait and see approach and aren’t eager to line up on day one for a China, Russia rushed and approved vaccine, it’s fairly obvious, by now, that getting back to a pre-COVID way of life may not be the most realistic of goals. We should be focused on how to adapt to our new conditions.

It’s one thing for governments to “open up the economy”. It’s quite another thing for people to risk their lives participating. I don’t understand the expectation of an effective, safe vaccine in the very near future. I hope we get one but I wouldn’t bet the bank on it.

 

SojoüRner

 

 

 

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16 Responses to “A Vaccine Is Coming?”

  • xoxo:

    Good write-up.
    A vaccine is really needed but a RUSHED-OUT VACCINE may worsen the fragile situation we are already in.

    It is better to wait than to rush.
    There is more certainty n safety.

    The world loves instant gratification and COVID 19 is a wake-up call especially for the GET-RICH QUICK gahmen n businessmen?

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  • Pra:

    The author really needs to widen his knowledge base on the PCR test , the controversy over masks, the real statistics about the virus (as it relates to all cause mortality ) and the inherent dangers of these fast track mRNA vaccines. One place to start Children’s Health Defense .

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  • Lies:

    We really need to catch those tricky phases used;

    ["You know, a lot of that is going to really depend on the uptake of the vaccine," Dr. Fauci revealed, explaining there are two elements to it. "One is the level of efficacy and in this case, of the group of vaccines that the United States government is involved in helping to develop or implement the testing of through operation warp speed," he said, adding that two of them are offering "striking results" of 90% and 94.5% efficacy. "That's a huge advance," he pointed out.]

    This review that there are concerted and collaborated efforts happening to put the vaccines through testing at “operation warp speed” bypassing all the normal careful and lengthy procedures and norms.

    Another phrases made, this time by AhLong;

    1. “Furthermore, you are not sure what risks and problems may arise . We have to learn as we feel our way forward”.

    2. ….include pharmaceutical giant Pfizer, as well as with the joint effort by scientists at Singapore’s Duke-NUS Medical School and US firm Arcturus Therapeutics.

    Item 1 agrees with the above suspicion.

    Item 2 suggested that the agenda is to fix at the vaccine which the EDB had already invested before the committee was formed.

    The questions you MUST ask before being injected with the vaccine are;

    1] Is the vaccine under clinical studies or “finally” approved for administration.

    2] Is the vaccine finally approved by the FDA [CBER]?

    This will avoid secretly being taken as “part of the population” for actual Phase III candidates unknowingly.

    Don’t take “I don’t know” for an answer.

    It is preferable to be the “Last part or the last one of the population” to be safe.

    The govt has no right to set up committee to select suitable candidates for the clinical studies test / vaccine injection.

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  • TUMASIK Patriot:

    Is the Creator PUNISHING the world through a Natural Process?…why whales beach themselves and little critters commit Natural Suicide by drowning…

    Man being the superior among the Creation of God had to LEEgalised Abortion and Pro-Life is to allow the Natural Process to take its course be it Diseases or Old Age…NOT being God or Play God

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  • I say liao, liz virus like cold cold one. Sinkieland lucky near hot hot line, else if say rain for 1 month, possible mass outbreak also very high one.

    See Japan and Hong Kong, now virus coming back to bite liao.

    Policy makers bo hiu bo lan, Sinkies must not be complacent and should take care very impportant else really kenna liao, to the aristocrats we are only an insignificant digit.

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  • Barking up the wrong tree?:

    The author is talking ‘panacea’ you talk ‘testing’ and children’s health?

    Pra:
    The author really needs to widen his knowledge base on the PCR test , the controversy over masks, the real statistics about the virus (as it relates to all cause mortality ) and the inherent dangers of these fast track mRNA vaccines. One place to start Children’s Health Defense .

    GD Star Rating
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  • angry:

    People do business at tax-payers account, you risk your life and yet foolishly mistaken that they care for you?

    oh bast**d!.

    Lies:
    We really need to catch those tricky phases used;

    This review that there are concerted and collaborated efforts happening to put the vaccines through testing at “operation warp speed” bypassing all the normal careful and lengthy procedures and norms.

    Another phrases made, this time by AhLong;

    Item 1 agrees with the above suspicion.

    Item 2 suggested that the agenda is to fix at the vaccine which the EDB had already invested before the committee was formed.

    The questions you MUST ask before being injected with the vaccine are;

    1] Is the vaccine under clinical studies or “finally” approved for administration.

    2] Is the vaccine finally approved by the FDA [CBER]?

    This will avoid secretly being taken as “part of the population” for actual Phase III candidates unknowingly.

    Don’t take “I don’t know” for an answer.

    It is preferable to be the “Last part or the last one of the population” to be safe.

    The govt has no right to set up committee to select suitable candidates for the clinical studies test / vaccine injection.

    GD Star Rating
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  • So ..... .... ?:

    So …. All top gov officials should take the lead and get shot first. Since lead by examples. Next follow by all the civil servants since many talents inside. We cant lose brillance minds. Plus they are well paid , good bonus and well covered e.g. $8. As their slogan ” with the people, for the people ” Any side effects maybe all medical expenses all free. Who knows ?

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  • China and Russia?:

    The author is anti China and Russia. Don’t act like western media who live to smear China and Russia.

    China is not an irresponsible global player like the present USA. Few American vaccine manufacturers already ‘rush’ to report their accuracy rates of 90% plus (promoting their product and secure buyers) while China keeps low profile focus on the testing. Also China has promised the vaccine will be aviable to the world at low cost.

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  • PAP mandate strong:

    Smear Russia and China ?

    Russia , mentioned that during 70s they already discovered theres water on the moon ( way b 4 the recent news released by USA ? ). Okay Assuming Russia is correct.

    Well next do u believe in global warming. Russia scientists believe the flunctuating abnormalities weather we are experiencing is due to diminishing sun spots in the sun.

    Only as time progresses then we know whos right whos wrong

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  • Bad Boy:

    China will always be China.

    http://www.huogua.net/wap/a/38450
    22岁方洋洋死了,“罪名”是生不出孩子

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  • SojoüRner:

    China and Russia?:
    The author is anti China and Russia. Don’t act like western media who live to smear China and Russia.

    China is not an irresponsible global player like the present USA. Few American vaccine manufacturers already ‘rush’ to report their accuracy rates of 90% plus (promoting their product and secure buyers) while China keeps low profile focus on the testing. Also China has promised the vaccine will be aviable to the world at low cost.

    @China and Russia?
    New York-based Pfizer and the German company BioNTech are also filing for Emergency Use Authorization next month. The same still applies, aren’t eager to line up on day one for it.

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  • Bad Boy:

    https://tw.appledaily.com/entertainment/20201121/UWMTJFQZ6RA67BBVUGFGGYUKLY/
    杭州辦台灣影展遭舉報 開場22分鐘終止放映

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  • Harder Truths:

    First – no one knows enough about the virus – it may mutate and be able to defeat the vaccine. Like the common cold.

    Second – a vaccine can be harmful to the individual. No one really knows what the effects or side effects will be. Usually these vaccines take years to
    develop. However if $G citizens are going to be used as a guinea pig testing facility that is another issue altogether.

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  • Better safe than sorry:

    Don’t put too much hope on the Vaccines.Not sure it will be effective or safe for you.

    Better to take simple precaution and keep safe.
    Wear your mask and sanitized your hands always.

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