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Do not panic – look at the bright side

The high deaths from covid during the past few weeks, since the move towards “living with covid” exceeded my expectations.

I had expected two deaths a day, but it seems to be at least two times higher.

There is an underlying factor which I am not able to understand now, and which I am searching for an answer.

However, when I compare our recent wave of covid deaths with the statistics in several other Asian countries during the past months, I arrived at the conclusion that the experience in Singapore is similar to the other countries, except that it comes a few months later.

The death rates in several of these countries declined after a few months. I expect that this will also be the case in Singapore.

I am not worried about the high infection rates in Singapore, because we measure the cases differently. Due to our mass testing, we are counting mild cases that are ignored in most other countries. Our infection rate (i.e. new cases reported) are 10 times of the global average, per million of population.

While the death rate is climbing in Singaore, the actual rate is still way below the global average.

The Worldometer website showed the global death rate to be 623 per million of population. It is now 24 for Singapore. The death rate is 2,196 for USA, 2,013 for UK and 827 for Malaysia.

While the death rate in Singapore will continue to climb for a few more weeks, it is likely to stabilize below 100.

There is a bright side to this turn of events in Singapore.

We are now more like most other countries.

There is no need for us to continue to fear the import of the virus from incoming travelers. We have enough virus of our own in the community. The virus from foreigners will not be a threat any more.

We can open our borders.

Another positive aspect is that the high infection rates in the community will lead to an increase in natural immunity. This appears to be the experience in India and Indonesia. They experienced high infection rates and deaths earlier this year. Their infection and death rates have dropped by 90% from their peak.

It is still very sad that over a hundred people have died from covid during the past few weeks. This happened in spite of the good medical care that was provided to them.

On the other hand, several times more of this number have recovered from the severe illness.

This is a fact of life.

If we look at this development from a wider perspective, it is not that bad.

 

Tan Kin Lian

 

 

yyy
READER COMMENTS BELOW

31 Responses to “Do not panic – look at the bright side”

  • “The death rates in several of these countries declined after a few months. I expect that this will also be the case in Singapore.”

    Of course, it will decline and may eventually drop to zero, it’s simple math.

    When almost the entire populace has been infected under the “living with the virus policy”, and all the most vulnerable oldies but goodies die from the C19, then the death rate would naturally fall because the oldies but goodies are all dead.

    The so-called experts at MTF of course know that. By then, they would claim credit and say it is because of their superb policies.

    Mr Tan should also know that, but then it is understandable he may not, because I heard he is from a “lousy school” (not I say one hor).

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  • MarBowling:

    Confirmed Tan Golden Chain is an Insider as well as a Very Impotent oops Important Member of the INNER CIRCUS of the PAPIGS CEC! He seems to UNDERSTAND and KNOW EVERYTHING UNDER THE SUN WRT TO COVID19 SITUATION IN SinKapore! Tan Golden Chain, Jia Yu!

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  • Death has no bright side:

    There is no bright side to this deadly pandemic..
    Especially the death of our dear elderly and others who went before their time..
    Just because this gov kept opening our doors to foreign covid19 carriers and later the deadly Delta variants.

    Tech: There is still hope to teh current pathetic state of affairs in Sinkieland. China’s Wuhan was in a worse state but the authorities did the right thing and implemented correct policies to rid COMPLETELY Wuhan of the deadly C19.

    The solution for Sinkieland is for the ENTIRE MTF to be sacked and replaced and a u-turn of the current stupendous policies. But then we all know that the LEEder have no balls to do so, removing one of his own, Which is why I said, at difficult times like these, someone with balls, like Mr Shanmugam would be more suited to lead.

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  • xoxo:

    When one is not the one AFFECTED NEGATIVELY like losing a loved one from bad govt policies or losing his livelihood,one can QUITE NONCHALANTLY TALK COCK.

    Mr Tan seems to be one such person.

    The fact remains that the EXTENT OF DELTA spread is linked to letting in Infected Ceca-FTs in a LAPSED MANNER.
    That no decent sg can deny.

    This spread is aggravated by the foolhardiness of initial disrespect of this deadly COVID VARIANT.

    Mr Tan seems lucky enough to escape from much suffering so he can come n birdie talk.

    Tech: I agree, CECA and open-leg policy is one of the contributing factors to teh current pathetic state of affairs in Sinkieland. Of course bad policies by teh clown at MTF is another and I do not expect things to change for the better. Like you said, unless it affects them personally like the loss of a loved one, etc. So for the sake of Sinkies, I do hope that some families in MTF are affected by the losses you mentioned, so that real and effective changes can be effected for the greater good of Sinkies.

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  • I had a chat with a specialist who had to literally pee in her diapers during the initial pandemic.

    According to her, studies have shown that once a person has been vaccinated with the mRNA, it affects the body’s natural immune system and weaken the body’s natural defense. As such, natural immunity against the C19 may no longer be possible for vaccinated individuals, even if they stop taking booster shots.

    On the other hand, those who contracted the C19 (without being vaccinated), if they survive, their body will have stronger defense against any future C19 infection and will very likely not suffer serious injuries.

    Since 80% of Sinkies are already vaccinated, these individuals will have to depend on the mRNA for the rest of their lives, taking boosters every 6 months to stay ‘alive’ and ‘protected’.

    Should these individuals be happy or should they feel ‘cheated’?

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  • Spineless Sinkie Syndrome:

    This old fart ex-PAPie crony should be silenced and kicked out of this forum.
    Why is Tremeritus Techie NOT Banning this “Talk Kok Lanjiao” (TKL) who is constantly eating from his anus and spewing crap from his mouth??

    For example, just see what kind of contradictions this old flaccid “Lanjiao Lang” who’s is laughing stock of an unsuccessful ex-Ball-licker & Kok-scuker says:

    “There is no need for us to continue to fear the import of the virus from incoming travelers. We have enough virus of our own in the community. The virus from foreigners will not be a threat any more.
    We can open our borders.” — TKL

    If that is the case, then there is also no need for us to fear those with “NATURAL untainted blood” or ban them from shopping malls, hawker centers etc., yes?

    He think “viruses from foreigners” will not be a threat any more, but viruses from locals (with NATURAL untainted blood) is more dangarous??

    KNN logic of “world-class” TKL standard better than Science & basic common sense? LOL.

    Tech: Look at it from another perspective. If everyday we only have articles praising the PAPies or co-driver, you say boring or not? Once in a while, we need to let in thr clowns to lighten up the atmosphere, right?

    As for TKL, you musn’t blame him. He came from a “loudy school”, according to someone from an atas school, ACS. lol

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  • oxygen:

    MAD COW anyhow moo and fart greenhouse gas AT THE SAME TIME.

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  • 4G CMI, SG dies:

    “Do not panic.”
    “There is a bright side.”
    “It is not that bad.”

    TKL, stop making it seems like this pandemic is not to be worried about, can?

    Let me share. The father of my ex-colleague’s friend was tested covid positive. Thereafter his mother also kena covid. His father passed on within a few days and the last I heard, his mother was in critical condition in the ICU. Since there’re so many reported death everyday, most prolly his mother was also on the death list liao.

    TKL, would you still say the same to this poor guy who has lost both his parents within days of each other?

    It’s so easy for us to just say we feel sad, we sympathise with those people who lost their loved ones but we will never be able to feel their real pain!

    And I recalled TKL saying “Even if we have 1 death each day, or 30 a month, it would not be a cause for concern.” TKL, sg’s covid death now is multiple times more than 1 every day. And you’re still talking about opening our borders hor? Sigh!

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  • xoxo:

    @Tech
    Thanks for the rejoinder and re-emphasising.
    I wholly agree with your additional points.
    Cheerio!

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  • Better than the worst:

    Long ago, Singapore compared itself with the best, e.g., the four dragons.

    With the new PAP, Singapore now compare with the worst. TKL: We are still better than the worst.

    Ministers should offer 90% pay cut.

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  • opposition dude:

    Textbook Tan never fails to amuse and entertain me and he once again shows he hasn’t got ANY common sense. Here is one example from his post.

    “I had expected two deaths a day, but it seems to be at least two times higher.

    There is an underlying factor which I am not able to understand now, and which I am searching for an answer.”

    Common sense tells you that there are more deaths now because the virus infected more people with various underlying illnesses. These illnesses weakened their immune systems which made it easier for the virus to cause their deaths. Simple isn’t it? Why would a person die from Covid if their immune system was strong enough isn’t that right?

    “The death rates in several of these countries declined after a few months. I expect that this will also be the case in Singapore.”

    Of course it will decline! A person can only die once can’t they? And once the virus kills off those whose immune systems weren’t strong enough to fight it then those whose immune systems are strong enough will survice. Once again, common sense prevails!

    And lastly, this is one great statement from Tan below which begs one to slam him really, REALLY hard.

    “The virus from foreigners will not be a threat any more.”

    If this is true, then why has Delta (which was brought in by the way) infected thousands daily and caused so many of our seniors to die last month and this?

    Tan just any old how hantam his views whether they are right or not. If he was president I wonder what would have happened to our reserves……

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  • I cant believe it:

    This inept sgov has blood on their hands..yesterday’s news reported another 10 seniors passed away! Ev day 8to 10!
    Few days ago the cowardly PM came out of hiding to give a brief speech in parliament and sent his condolences to the families of the departed..
    What a slap in the face..
    Sincere or not? He and his band of incompetent ministars arent doing anything substantial if anything.
    Its absurd that no changes to the mtf buggers.
    ..bungle up big time but still taking home mil$ salaries plus plus..so shameless!

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  • Tremendous:

    Don’t know why the writer cannot understand.
    Many of those who have died or are dying, are among the most vulnerable in the village.
    Once they die, the number of villagers equally vulnerable remaining will be lesser, so
    death numbers can drop. When they say no one left behind, it is not true. The idiot chiefs
    will leave lots of common villagers behind in their coffins.

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  • Shanmugan:

    Death has no bright side:
    There is no bright side to this deadly pandemic..
    Especially the death of our dear elderly and others who went before their time..
    Just because this gov kept opening our doors to foreign covid19 carriers and later the deadly Delta variants.

    Tech: There is still hope to teh current pathetic state of affairs in Sinkieland. China’s Wuhan was in a worse state but the authorities did the right thing and implemented correct policies to rid COMPLETELY Wuhan of the deadly C19.

    The solution for Sinkieland is for the ENTIRE MTF to be sacked and replaced and a u-turn of the current stupendous policies. But then we all know that the LEEder have no balls to do so, removing one of his own, Which is why I said, at difficult times like these, someone with balls, like Mr Shanmugam would be more suited to lead.

    The problem is that Mr Shanmugam is very quite. Maybe he was asked to shut up or get out. So he shut up and get rich. Seriously, we wonder where is Mr Shanmugam?

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  • Harder Truths:

    TRE Techie: Should these individuals be happy or should they feel ‘cheated’?

    @TreTechie

    No one can say these citizens were mandated to take the trial drugs and become Big Pharma’s Guinea Pigs. The decision they willfully took to be loyal to the Regime during the election and now during the vaccination is a reflection on them, not the Regime.

    People play stupid games, and then win stupid prizes. They have to live – or possibly die – with that.

    C’est la Vie.

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  • @Harder Truths

    Having been with TRE for more than a decade, I thought that I had seen the good, the bad and the ugly side of Sinkies, but obviously, I am terribly wrong.

    I never thought that the blind faith of these dafts has gone to the extent of willingly sacrificing their oldies but goodies parents, relatives and friends just to make the LEEders feel good and shinny on their faces.

    At the current rate of infection and extrapolating from the current trend, by next X’mas, more than 5000 of our oldies but goodies would be dead.

    The ironic fact is that, as one reader puts it, by then these dafts would have forgotten about those dead oldies but goodies when a few hundred bucks are credited into their Medisave accounts, while busy patting the LEEders on their backs, chanting “what a job well done”.

    The way I see it, Sinkieland has no ruling political party, it has a cult.

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  • Harder Truths:

    TRE Techie: At the current rate of infection and extrapolating from the current trend, by next X’mas, more than 5000 of our oldies but goodies would be dead.

    @Techie
    When I was a young man back in the late 60′ and 70′s these were the people who went around threatening anyone and everyone who spoke against the Dead Despot. I was involved in more than one fight with self-styled Regime enforcers just because I could ask questions about NS and land confiscation (a big problem at the time with many people losing their livelihoods and many were my friends’ parents and grandparents who had no means of supporting themselves).

    Do NOT feel pity for the old bastards and bitches, They got their karma back good. They played the game and lost by being backstabbed. At least I have lived this long to see justice done.

    Those others you mentioned who forget, will also get theirs, do not worry. The time for retribution for all Regime supporters is coming very soon. We shall have the last laugh, even though you may not be in TRE at the time.

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  • PaikaGen deaths Good 4SG?:

    PaikaGen = Pioneer-Merdeka Generation.
    More PaikaGen deaths, good 4SG!?
    Shouldnt the SilverSupportScheme be increased to $300/mth for every still surviving eligible elderly?
    What with the impending 9%GST next year?
    Isnt it time to double the PioneerDAS?

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  • Death toll rising:

    11 more seniors passed away yesterday 12/10….as reported on this morning’s 91.3fm news.
    Note :Not all unvaxed..

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  • Pappie$ $earch for bright $ide:

    The fact about the Lee K.Y. dynasty is that they’ve populated Singapore with their cultic incarnations ….and it’s a globalized importation to vouchsafe the Pappy vote. It’s akin to Red China neo-communism with a super high-tech megalomaniac ambitions….and it’s corollary: the enslavement of human beings of good conscience and human liberty. Why do they demand $950/month levy tax per unskilled worker from India and Bangladesh??? for example! It’s killed off many a bona-fide Singapore businessmen and demeaned the labourer with a subhuman wage daily rated at $20/day! The Pinky regime persists to smoke us that it’s to penalise Singapore bosses for not hiring Singaporeans to dig roads and build cement high-rise….heeheehee while our CPF gently weeps…..

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  • Temusik Patriot:

    Tan ahhh! You are mentally sick n should seek the bright side of Woodbridge as promoted by the govt on mental health…
    The bright side when people sre dying owing to a sick govt…SICKO…not pofma or whatever that comes out of SICKO mind

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  • PAP mandate strong:

    @ I had a chat with a specialist who had to literally pee in her diapers during the initial pandemic.

    Kindly let us know who ?
    史鎖芳 ?

    https://3g.163.com/dy/article/GM6PUE4U0512D3VJ.html?spss=adap_pc
    著名中医呼吸病专家史锁芳突发疾病因公殉职.

    Tech: Neh, it was a local specialist from a local hospital. I live in a 妇幼小区, so plenty of doctors and nurses to seek medical advice from.

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  • PAP mandate strong:
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  • @Harder Truths

    You are not wrong, these oldies but goodies are those who mostly voted for the ruling during the last GE with their “PAPies is God” and “flight to safety” mentality.

    So it can be said that they voted to end their lives prematurely due to the clueless MTF, literally.

    What do you think?

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  • illiterate pap voters:

    Many of those who died under covid are those above 60.

    In GE statistics, these are mostly the kiasi pap voters.

    If we look at the bright side, pap is losing voters.

    Not a bad thing.

    Maybe, perhaps, 10 a day is too slow. Make it 1,000 a day. Then, probably by GE2024, pap loses even amk GRC.

    We think this this sky idea. In other words, dictate of heaven that pap dies after GE2024. We think it is a good thing. A very good thing.

    Tech: Very bad boy to be wishing that, but as one lady lawyer said, if a few have to die so others can survive and have a new life, then why not? From the current trend, by next X’mas, my back of toilet paper calculation shows 5,000 – 10,000 oldies but goodies will be gone, but maybe not enough like you said, add another “0″ perhaps?

    And at 1000 per day, PAP won’t live long enough to partake in the next GE liao lor, I think 100 per day can liao. lol

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  • oxygen:

    @ PAP mandate strong

    ANOTHER SNEAKY LIE, it is not unspecified (implied all) workers need be vaccinated, it is only frontline/public facing workers only.

    PAP mandate strong: Northern Territory sets strict vaccine mandate for workers, $5,000 fines for those who don’t comply

    To require ALL workers to be vaccinated requires FEDERAL LEGISLATION for uniformity of Commonwealth enforced law. State legislation cannot usurp Federal power in the Ozzie hierarchical law system.

    Tech: Now you know why everytime I try to ‘educate’ these people, my blood boils. lol

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  • oxygen:

    @ Tech

    YES, YES, YES, POFMA law does not apply to its IB trolls in the social media. They hold exclusive licence to publish lies as truths…..until detected and get farked by truthful revelations.

    oxygen: Tech: Now you know why everytime I try to ‘educate’ these people, my blood boils. lol

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  • Harder Truths:

    TRE Techie:
    @Harder Truths

    You are not wrong, these oldies but goodies are those who mostly voted for the ruling during the last GE with their “PAPies is God” and “flight to safety” mentality.

    So it can be said that they voted to end their lives prematurely due to the clueless MTF, literally.

    What do you think?

    @Tretechie

    Einstein said “God does not play dice”. If this is the result of their foolishness no one can be blamed but themselves.

    I am prepared for what is going to happen to $G. Most locals do not want to face the facts. They want to continue to easy way out. That is why locals will end up losing everything. But this is their choice entirely.

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  • Brain damaged Chief Minister:

    The MTF changes their rules confusing people.

    This NT Chief Minister is even worse. He sets unclear rules, and his last rule is: if you don’t understand the rules, you must be jabbed.

    The news report goes like this:

    1)Title: Northern Territory sets strict vaccine mandate for workers, $5,000 fines for those who don’t comply (implying all workers?)

    2)Chief Minister said frontline and public facing workers will be required to get their first dose of a COVID-19 jab by November 12 and their second dose by December 24. (only frontline and public facing workers?)

    3) “You must receive the vaccine if in the course of your work you come into contact with vulnerable people, your workplace has a high risk of infection, or you perform maintenance of essential infrastructure or logistics in the territory,” Mr Gunner said. (more than just frontline and public facing workers, and not all frontline and public facing workers. What an idiot!)

    4) More detailed and unclear criteria:
    “If you are not sure if it applies to you, ask yourself these three questions:

    In my work, do I come into contact with vulnerable people?
    Is my workplace at a higher risk of infection?
    Do I work on infrastructure or logistics that are critical to the territory?

    “If your answer is maybe or I don’t know then you need to get the jab.

    Conclusion, any worker who is not vaccinated may kenna fined $5,000. To defend against the fine, h will be required to prove that everyone he came, and will be coming, into contact with is NOT a vulnerable person. Who has the capability to prove that?

    oxygen: @ PAP mandate strong

    ANOTHER SNEAKY LIE, it is not unspecified (implied all) workers need be vaccinated, it is only frontline/public facing workers only.

    PAP mandate strong:
    https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.skynews.com.au/australia-news/coronavirus/northern-territory-sets-strict-vaccine-mandate-for-workers-5000-fines-for-those-who-dont-comply/news-story/916dba4ba9a13fbb205f6923c24ace9c%3famp

    Northern Territory sets strict vaccine mandate for workers, $5,000 fines for those who don’t comply

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  • oxygen:

    @ Brain damaged Chief Minister:

    INDEED HE IS A BRAIN DAMAGED CHIEF MINISTER of NT with a vacuous tongue for public bullying.

    IF IT IS FOR ALL territorians,

    - why even bother to twist his tongue of such gibberish rant on national television?

    - for if he did so of explicit mandate demand, it places him in law and the contrary moo-ing of other political cows in the Federal Government. At least I see OZ Qantas airline opposing it (they don’t want to be caught short of pilots and then some vaccinated turned up sick unable (or prevented from) to fly passengers in flight(whether vaccinated or not). And overstretched healthcare workers against the mandate walked out.

    As there is no such mandate at Commonwealth level of law enactment, the brain damaged chief minister will be found usurping Commonwealth law statutes and can be challenged. Someone might sue for a interlocutory order to “freeze” NT mandate awaiting an outcome/decision from the High Court.

    Another MABO-like decision?

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  • Robert:

    I question why we should accept the current death rate. Prior to the surge in deaths from Aug/Sep 21, we read only of deaths due to covid on rare occasions. Thus we see the death count hovering at the 30s range for months on end pre-Aug 21.

    Suddenly, with the Delta variant, the death rate grew by many times to what we see daily now.

    The only conclusion is that our health authorities have no answer to fight Delta variant.

    Most times we read that those who died had underlying medical issues. It is as though prior to Aug 21, patients with Covid did not have similar underlying medical issues.

    It is no comfort to those whose loved ones haved passed on because our health authorities were unable to contain the Delta variant.

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