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Drop in Covid-19 cases is probably due to less tests

The covid tests carried out daily in Singapore dropped from a peak of 17 per 1,000 on 12 July 2021 to 3 per 1,000 on 7 Nov. It probably continued to drop further since.

As less tests are carried out, the number of cases will certainly follow. If no test, we will have no case, right?

The cases have dropped from a peak of over 3,000 to the current level of 255 cases.

This is probably in line with the drop in testing.

I agree with removing the testing, except when someone has developed symptoms.

However, it is important for MOH to point out that there is a sharp drop in the tests that are now being carred out, compared to earlier.

I have suggested that a better measure is the cases positive rate, i.e. cases / tests. This will give a better indication of any change in infection.

 

Tan Kin Lian

 

 

yyy
READER COMMENTS BELOW

13 Responses to “Drop in Covid-19 cases is probably due to less tests”

  • Direct Variation:

    It’s simply a direct variation.
    y=kx where k is a constant, y is the number of cases and x is the number of tests carried out.

    Nothing to dispute TKL’s inference. Zero testing means No more cases. It’s totally Nothing.

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  • Fire:

    Hello !
    There is new virus out there .
    You didn’t expect a Restarts .

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  • MarBowling:

    Every time Donald Lame Duck Trump OPENS HIS BIG LJ CB MOUTH, HE SPEWS ONLY CRAPS AND BS, PERIOD.

    THE ONLY TIME HE REALLY SPEAKS THE MOTHER OF ALL HARD TRUTHS IS THIS REMARK: ZERO TESTING ZERO RESULT!

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  • xoxo:

    So,TKL is saying if you dont take your temperature,*you will then have NO FEVER* even if your body is burning hot?
    Mr Tan,you are a typical product of RI like Kee Chiu n others.

    RI is short for REALLY IDIOTIC.

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  • theforgottongeneration:

    Just within a week, MOH/MTF reported 16, then 24, then 40+ and now 71 Omicron cases DETECTED in SG, of which 65 (i.e. near 92%) are IMPORTED. What can we infer from this:

    1) Again “imports” is the main source of the virus getting into and spreading in SG. (Recall the safe-thru-Nepal passport for the Delta variant?)
    2) As Tan KL suggested, MOH/MTF is likely cutting on amount of testing and/or under-reporting. Otherwise, how can the Omicron cases jump so fast in a week?
    3) What is the point of Singaporeans still bearing the burden of all the restrictions but it is the imports that is fueling the spreading the virus? Can one fight a fire by allowing fuel to be continually fed into the blaze???
    4) Agree, no country can close 100% forever. However, there is also a difference of being too lax under the excuse of “living with the virus”. As imports make up 92% of Omicron cases, the gov/MTF itchness to open VTLs is probably too lax, or they are fooling themselves (and us) about the effectiveness of their “stringent” screening of arrivals into SG.
    5) MTF seems to be morons, over-used or misused the tools available to fight the virus. We achieved over 90% vaccination already, but our sport-people go overseas still kenna detected with virus, cannot participate in the championships. What a joke!
    6) Per #5, the MTF appears running out of bullets. After boaster shots, then what? Even if they fully shut our boundaries now, the wolf is already among the sheep. And Sia Suay Chan can still say our million$ ministers think 2-3 steps ahead? Maybe they will again say they are NOT PAID ENOUGH, hor?

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  • opposition dude:

    People test on their own at home and don’t report to clinic or MOH of course fewer cases lah. For those unvaccinated ones not informing MOH is the best if not go hospital end up paying for what sia?

    So of course can happy happy report cases are less than 500 per day loh.. Make all happy since it’s end of the year before Omicron starts spreading and killing our seniors again next year!

    Prepare for another wave by March!

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  • John Dough:

    No tests – no cases.
    SG has successfully combat and eradicate all and any covid and all its variants.

    Thx to PAP our Million Dollars Salaried Snake and Ladder Game Champion Millionaire Politicians.

    WOW. SG and PAP in its OWN LEAGUE.

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  • Ahkong:

    No one is so stupid to do test when there are no symptoms. Why waste money in buying ART unless given free by government. But how many can the government give free?

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  • theforgottongeneration:

    Like the RK’s lie “narrative”, come 2022, the pappies MTF’s narrative is going to be that they have done VERY well handling the covid situation. Then Loong can say ready to hand over to a very capable 4G team; never mind if the Nikkei Covid Recovery index lists SG at 96 (out of 122 countries) for end-Nov.

    The good news is that we are ranked ahead of Croatia, Liechtenstein, Slovenia, Ukraine, Myanmar, … even Germany and … Switzerland. Above Swiss standards to the pappies, hor. Wow !!!

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  • Those clowns at MTF must be busy congratulating themselves in achieving a ZERO C19 result, no test where got case right?

    The MTF has even outdone China!

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  • theforgottongeneration:

    TRE Tech:
    Those clowns at MTF must be busy congratulating themselves in achieving a ZERO C19 result, no test where got case right?

    Like being in a championship league. If a club doesn’t play in any matches, it can honestly said it didn’t let in any goals, or it didn’t lose any matches. HAHAHAHA.

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  • No marriage = No babies:

    What?!

    TRE Tech:
    Those clowns at MTF must be busy congratulating themselves in achieving a ZERO C19 result, no test where got case right?

    The MTF has even outdone China!

    Wah!
    Like that ah, No certifucated marriage = No babies lah!

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  • Covid-19 WARNING
    ================

    The Omicron variant of the Covid-19 is CURRENTLY on rampage in Europe, Korea and other countries.

    It is VERY contagious and has forced the countries listed above to implement fresh containment procedures to ward it off.

    Remember that the C19 can re-infect a person that had been infected and that vaccine or not, will NOT prevent such infection.

    So while you are ‘turkeying’ away on X’mas Eve, remember and be careful that Omicron and its brothers and sisters may just be lurking around the corner.

    ESPECIALLY when Sinkieland has a living with the virus policy that allows Omicron to be literally imported and no/less testing done.

    Sinkieland has so far, imported 411 Omicron in a matter of about a week, what a feat to be proud of!

    With that out of the way, Merry X’mas and Happy New Year everyone!

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