My prediction for GE2020

1) Aljunied GRC: WP to hold Aljunied GRC with 52%-53% of votes

- PAP will not invest their manpower resource on Aljunied as PAP’s priority is to put heavyweight’s resources safeguarding East Coast GRC. Likely, it would be Victor Lye, Chua Eng Leong and three other candidates.
- SG50 and LKY’s sentiments had faded. PAP’s propaganda had been stirring AHTC till people feel sick about it and noted that PAP’s agenda of stirring AHTC is to bully WP.
- WP had improved on their Town Council’s management.
- WP will heavily emphasis that “If you don’t vote for us, there is only zero to one elected Opposition MP in Parliament”.

2) East Coast GRC

- LTK is the key to win East Coast GRC, together with Nicole Seah, Leon Perera and one new blood.
- PAP has not much heavyweight Minister left. Stroke Heng would still be Tampines GRC’s anchor Minister, Fish Tank Ong would be Sembawang GRC’s anchor and Kee Chiu would be Tanjong Pagar GRC’s anchor. Hence, PAP may send Grace Fu, Josephine Teo, Edwin Tong or Indranee Rajah to replace Lim Swee Say. PAP may keep Tharman to attack Tan Cheng Bock.

3) Fengshan SMC

- WP have 50/50 chances of winning it from incumbent MP Cheryl Chan.

4) West Coast GRC

- The chances of PSP win West Coast GRC are 40-42% (without Lee Hsien Yang) or 50% to 53% (with Lee Hsien Yang).

 

*Comment first appeared on HWZ.

 

 

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26 Responses to “My prediction for GE2020”

  • RDB:

    May God bless Singaporeans with opposition wins to break the the pee and poo’s strangle hold of political power in our country any longer. Amen

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  • patriot of TUMASIK:

    Until and Unless the Gun Carriage roll out of Istana to gain sympathy VOTES…the Backlash will be FELT throughout Singapore…

    The he is NOT my Brother, therefore, SUE till their pants drop!!!…

    Crying to vindicate himself in Parliament for Power Abuse and other accusations by siblings…

    Hounding Aljuneid when Ang Moh Kio Town council is JUST as Bad if NOT worse having to CONvict one of their own

    Denying fully Qualified Malay self-made businessmen from standing in PE and placing an Indian passing off as a Malay for a Malay only election to DENY Dr.Tan CB from winning and the Gutless Ex-President NOT daring to stand for re-Election…

    That!!! my Fellow Patriots & Citizens not INCLUDING many other shitty things NOT reported in the Fake SHITTY PRESS is enough to make a wind of change to Blow Hard for a Majulah Singapura a la Pak Ramli (from the depth of the soul and HEART) or we will end up with the National Anthem of Mati-Lah!!! Singapura!!!

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  • Think out of the Ballot BOX:

    I predict PAP remains the govt and you guys complain for another 5 more years and hopefully won’t get a disease due to constant daily frustrations.

    Well at least longan lost his prostate.

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  • LKY wakes up from grave:

    A vote for PAP is a vote for CECA, if you vote for PAP it is a vote for further increase in price of everything.I call to all SIngaporeans to vote against CECA especially the Tamil community.The MOTHER FUCKER LHL is trying to dilute the Tamil community by bring in North Indians.Please remember that it was the Tamil community together with our Chinese and Malay brother that built this nation,not the people who come through CECA.What the PAP is trying to do is divide and rule.If you vote for PAP more FT will be brought in to steal our lunches.
    Every day I prey that LHL will loose his seat in parliament.

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  • Conu eat shit:

    My prediction is that PAP will suffer heavy losses.
    LHL,Grace Foo,Chichen Hen ,Josephine Ho and minister for health mr gan will all loose their seats.All by narrow margins. SDP,PV and SPP will all enter parliament.THIS WILL SURELY HAPPEN as the sun rises every morning.
    I sure wish to see the look on LHL face after he is kicked out of parliament.

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  • Marimuthu Rengansamy:

    The “70%” have been called all sorts of names by the “30%” , this divided the country but solidified the “70%”.GE2020 will of course be 70 vs 30. It is as clear as Singapore’s tap water.

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  • Political Strategy:

    The opposition should not make the silly mistake in GE 2015 by contesting all seats. Then there would be the by-election effect where voters will feel safe that there will not be a freak result.
    The million dollar question is whether the opposition is united and disciplined by cooperating with one another.

    Only when this happens will the ruling party suffers a big dent with their share of popular votes at 55% or even lower.

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  • Went to Japan:

    PAP actually planned to hold the election last year and had the election officials trained. Then they decided to delay maybe the feel the ground is sour.

    Your prediction is fair. Singaporeans by large are timid and fearful of PAP. Although they have suffered for years and gotten worst, when it comes to voting against PAP, there is a barrier to overcome.

    When oppositions have won, I have analyzed, the voters need a charismatic person to convince them. If Low Thia Kiang did not move to Aljunied GRC at the last minute, they would not have won. JBJ, Chiam and LTK have the charisma to push timid voters to cast in their favour. JBJ son’s Kenneth is a good calibre but he does not posses that charisma of his dad and also his temper is a big problem.

    Remember Nicole Seah with 4 noobs went for East Coast GRC and nearly scared the hell of Ah Goh. Again, she was young and without much experience but her charisma was the key again.

    To beat PAP, you need a charismatic lead, Dr Chee has charisma, they know very well 20 years ago. But Dr Chee’s reputation was assassinated and stamped on, so despite his charisma and speaking prowess, the voters did not give him chance. That explains why his hardwork at Bukit Timah and Batok were in vain and could not garner near 50% votes.

    Singaporeans need to know, once you vote PAP, you are endorsing their 10M population, profit at all cost and pro FT policies. FTs will eventually take over Singapore, many locals will end up reporting to FTs at work. FT will bring their friends, villages and culture, the signs already here. So once you cast your vote to the white, you are signing your future and your next generation future again.

    May divine help Singapore and Singaporeans, getting them to wake up. Btw it is already late, we are on the way to 10M.

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  • My take is WP and PSP will each win 1 GRC and maybe 1 or 2 SMC for the others, reason being some 70% are still gainfully employed and have not experienced the pain that some 30% have.

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  • TruBlu:

    DICEY,i would say.

    only more assurance can come from a SOLID OPPO ALLIANCE this season.

    too many fence-sitters still including freshly made jobless sgs?

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  • opposition dude:

    We still don’t know how much or how little the GRCs will change as well as the exact number of SMCs or their size. I just hope PSP can win a GRC or two otherwise those who Dr Tan spoke to who were telling him life is tough either were in the minority or just kiasee to vote for opposition.

    I hope the opposition can win most of the eastern GRCs since they lean more towards the opposition. Lee Kayu was a free get out of jail card for PAP in 2015 but your founder can only die once and sympathy voting won’t be getting you 70% of the votes this time.

    And we also do not know if either Hsien Yang or Wei Ling have something else to reveal once the election date is announced.

    Lastly, we do not know how many percent the new citizens make up. For sure some of the daft kiasees would have woken up from their 2015 stupor but how many percentage points PAP will lose from the last GE is unknown. Is there enough anger on the ground for a massive swing of below 55% perhaps?

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  • So ..... .... ?:

    Only WP ?

    What about others ?
    The rest can go hiatus.

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  • N.Jungne:

    PAP is on the way out

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  • Too early to predict:

    I think still too early to say ..
    PAP will surely come out last minute to announce tweaks or outright changes to the Elections rules and regulations..
    They will do it deliberately to put many alternative parties out of whack.
    Thats what this insecure gov is famously good at.

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  • Change We Must:

    Opposition parties must win more than one third to balance the power. Hope to see the day happening in the coming election and hope SDP can win some seats. The useless Minister for MOM is not doing enough to fight for local employment and retrenchment. Vote that lady out to protect Singaporean jobs.

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  • Merobok:

    Do not forget that the new citizens who have been indoctrinated by the PAP into giving them the new status will play a crucial role in the voting pattern!
    It is up to the various opposition parties and their supporters to psycho them by telling them with evidence the problems which they will face such as the CPF, Ceca and the foreign talents, high cost of living etc.
    It is not too late to start tacking them as neighbors, work colleagues, uni mates.

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  • Pap has the mandate:

    Singaporeans or Stinkies are a bunch of cowards already, jobs taken away by foreigners and tourist, GST increased, water price increased, electricity increased, Transport increased….the list goes on and yet they do nothing. A chance for them to fix the situation in 2015 but Stinkies threw the chance away. I predicted, it will be a wipeout and game over for stupid and coward stinkies. When the PAP dangled some gst vouchers, stupid stinkies with no backbone will sell themselves and their generations as modern-day slaves. No sympathy for stupid and coward stinkies. They let themselves to be screwed by everyone….lol.

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  • Instead:

    Instead of having silly expections better for opposition to enhance their capability to achieve the outcome. Better for oppies to enhance how they can support opposition to their victory.

    Remember how all these e.g. Oxygen predicts off the mark.

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  • Harder Truths:

    The bar is set high this festive GE season. Either the opposition get the required 33% of seats or $G voters can say goodbye to whatever freedom you see today.

    Despotic regimes take more and more freedoms and wealth as time goes by. Do not take the current opportunity for granted.

    The opposition and ability to vote are British-given rights and not part of the current government’s plans to keep their power in the future.

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  • George:

    Khaw BW and Tan CJ are part of a regime that does not care for Singaporeans, vote for change and VOTE THEM OUT !

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  • Like Father Like son:

    patriot of TUMASIK:
    Until and Unless the Gun Carriage roll out of Istana to gain sympathy VOTES…the Backlash will be FELT throughout Singapore…

    The he is NOT my Brother, therefore, SUE till their pants drop!!!…

    Crying to vindicate himself in Parliament for Power Abuse and other accusations by siblings…

    Hounding Aljuneid when Ang Moh Kio Town council is JUST as Bad if NOT worse having to CONvict one of their own

    Denying fully Qualified Malay self-made businessmen from standing in PE and placing an Indian passing off as a Malay for a Malay only election to DENY Dr.Tan CB from winning and the Gutless Ex-President NOT daring to stand for re-Election…

    That!!! my Fellow Patriots & Citizens not INCLUDING many other shitty things NOT reported in the Fake SHITTY PRESS is enough to make a wind of change to Blow Hard for a Majulah Singapura a la Pak Ramli (from the depth of the soul and HEART) or we will end up with the National Anthem of Mati-Lah!!! Singapura!!!

    I wonder which of his relatives paying him a visit this CNY ?
    HAHAHA

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  • bystander:

    PM Lee’s cousin Kee Chui won’t dare to step out of his comfort zone Tanjong Pagar.
    A coward like him not fit to be in the elite clique, only good boasting about his Army days, no substance and no guts, how to be PM in waiting. maybe good only as a seatwarmer to the next Lee Gen?

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  • PAP.GUARANTEE.FLOP.GE2019/20:

    Istana close down? All boarded up.

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  • SMLJ also accept:

    Like Father Like son: I wonder which of his relatives paying him a visit this CNY ?
    HAHAHA

    Has he already sued all his surviving family members ?

    No right?

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  • TruBlu:

    bystander

    Kee Chiu is a lame general.
    He is an even more lame minister.
    These school-boys shud remain in schools than act smart n screw us all upside down

    Kee chiu can go sell chye tow kway?

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  • Everyone shout Stop CECA:

    At every election rally.

    Thank you!

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