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Do not over react to the Covid-19 pandemic in India

The situation in India is bad. There has been a sharp increase in infection and death from covid.

Many people in Singapore are worried that we can face the serious crisis that is happening in India.

The experts in Singapore said that we should be concerned, but should not be over alarmed.

I agree with this view.

Here are the factors that made the spread of the pandemic very bad in India:

a) There were several large political rallies and religious events that attracted large numbers of people who participated without adequate precautions against covid.

b) Many people were in poor health due to malnutrition and obesity and are more susceptible to the covid virus.

c) There is inadequate checks for symptomatic cases that are likely to cause the virus to spread more rapidly.

All of these conditions are not present in Singapore. We will not face the scale of the health crisis that has occurred in India.

I agree that we should be concerned and make sure that matters do not get out of control. But we do not need to be over alarmed. Here are my reasons:

a) Although there were about 10 community cases in Singapore each day, it does not increase exponentially. Why did the 10 cases not spread to 100 or 1000 cases? I suspect that most of these cases are asymptomatic (i.e. mild) and do not spread.

b) There will be a few symptomatic cases that spread, but the number is still very small.

c) We have been implementing social distancing measures and border control. They are adequate.

There are calls for the border closure to be completely closed for travelers from countries with high infection rates.

I think that the current measures are adequate and do not need to be strengthened.

All incoming travelers are already tested for covid. If they are found to be positive, they have to be quarantined.

If they are tested negative, there is still a risk that they have the virus during the gestation period. From my observation over many months, this risk is actually quite small.

We hear about a handful of untraced community cases that occur daily. I believe that the virus is already in the community, but is mild. This is why the widespread testing, such as in Tan Tock Seng Hospital, will bring up a number of cases.

If the widespread testing is carried out among people in a mall or market, we will also catch a similar proportion of cases.

I may be wrong in my analysis. But I will not be alarmed until I see a large spread of the infection. This has not occurred yet.

I think that it is unwise to take extreme measures and damage the economy by preventing people from earning a daily living. The economic harm may be worse than the health risk (which may be smaller than what is generally feared).

 

Tan Kin Lian

 

 

yyy
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29 Responses to “Do not over react to the Covid-19 pandemic in India”

  • You Ain't Know Nothing:

    Will the virus please pay a visit to his home.

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  • PAP is Finished:

    Can get from China or M’sia if these countries aren’t in the endagered zone. Why must get from India only?

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  • That's y u r NOT President:

    Any Sinkie with the lowest IQ will not agree with your comments.
    Even a primary school kid will tell you the cause of it is due to imported cases. Mostly India.

    Your comments also insulted the intellect of the other world leaders who has since banned flights from India.

    Thank God, you are not the President.

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  • PAP CLOSE DOWN:

    It would be wise to ban people from India as theeir cases are nearing 20 million.

    https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/south-asia/indias-covid-19-case-total-nears-20-million

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  • Comrade Tan:

    Is the economy more important than lives? Is it just a small sacrifice to lose a few lives for the sake of the economy? We all know numbers can be easily replaced by importing more FTs into the country. After all, it could be reasoned that the people who die from Covid are mostly old people who have outlived their productive years.

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  • oxygen:

    @ TKL, NEW CASES linking to the TTSH cluster is EXPANDING. Your “expert” hypothesis fails you yet again.

    COVID-19: 17 new cases including 8 linked to TTSH cluster

    https://sg.yahoo.com/news/covid19-17-new-cases-8-ttsh-cluster-081350915.html

    Please refrain from being a xiao-kow-luan-pui (mad puppy anyhow bark) encouraging dangerous complacency, thank you.

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  • oxygen:

    @TKL, please check in IMH soon to see if your “upstair” is still in working order, thanks again.

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  • oxygen:

    @ TKL, I confess one thing – you would, in my opinion, made a good circus busker or a carnival jester on the subject-matter of Covid-19 pandemic hypothesis – defeating all competition.

    HILARIOUS!

    GET REAL, MATE!

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  • Tracey Ching:

    Aiyoh dear god, if you do exist, pls Ensure that comrade Ah Tan and his loved ones get infected with CoV-19 China wuhan virus. Then let see how he reacts and how he talk cock rubbish. Pap already terminated mp meet the people sessions and ICA also moved its training for its staff to online. It means this is very serious. Is it not? India is a hopeless case. Only natural herd immunity will save India. India is getting its comeuppance. She asked for it. India has been exporting fraudulent professionals to the world for several decades. Now it is going to export death to the rest of the world. May Goddess Kali rises and destroys the devious evilness in India.

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  • Lee Con You:

    A very simple solution to all their woes.

    Need to implement FAMILY PLANNING.

    They produce like rabbits.

    ” The more you have the less they get “.

    India with a population of 1.3 Billion has a land mass 3 times smaller than China with a popn of only 1.4 Billion.

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  • @ TKL:

    asymptomatic ?

    Why not because of vaccination ?
    Why not because of mask ?

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  • xoxo:

    TKL,why dont you put your money where your BIG mouth is?!

    No need go to India,just go to LITTLE INDIA,take some pictures at some curry outlets and post here?

    Luckily,sgs smart enough n didnt give you more votes.

    You are a public menace.

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  • Comrade Tan:

    What causes the virus to mutate? And what if they discover a SG variant? It will be other countries’ turn to ban flights from Singapore. No more holiday trips to Perth and Melbourne, or HK, S.Korea and Taiwan. LOL!

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  • JOHN SMITH:

    My understanding is that ALL incoming travellers have to quarantine even if they test negative. Is my understanding incorrect?

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  • Hello:

    By the time when it increases exponentially, it is already too late. Please be cautious and protect the citizens. Stop all entry of incoming flight from india including citizens like Australia. Never be greedy for economic factors at risk of health to citizens here.

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  • nathan chen:

    Economic risks vs health risks. Money vs health. Unfortunately, it’s one or the other with the covid-19 virus or its variants. You cannot have both at the same time in any compromised composition. Unfortunately again the G thinks it can by cheating with Science and smart tech. The sudden TTSS virus breaches clearly shows otherwise. Yes, it’s still early days yet. But remember it’s wise to hope for the best and expect the worse when ‘experts’ used the same old refrain we are prepared. Have we heard it before. At the very beginning, from these experts, no mask unless you are sick and doctors too from both the government and neighbourhood clinics up to high end private hospitals just to align with the erroneous political leaders thinking. How dangerously wrong can these people get with impunity. In the present strange world situation, we cannot even trust God to point to us the right way to go. Man keeps on proposing the virus keeps on disposing. Non answer is cold comfort.

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  • Stupidity:

    Sometime, zkin Lian to shit up over something beyond u is wisdom. FGPapists lack it n
    KL please don’t try to supercede them or u don’t even have to try. If that’s so try to chill down when the urge attacks.

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  • Harder Truths:

    TKL – the greatest argument against human cloning.

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  • Pioneer:

    The govt should take effective actions before the surge, NOT after the number of cases has surged.

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  • Singapore R Free Rider:

    Lee Con You:
    A very simple solution to all their woes.

    Need to implement FAMILY PLANNING.

    They produce like rabbits.

    ” The more you have the less they get “.

    India with a population of 1.3 Billion has a land mass 3 times smaller than China with a popn of only 1.4 Billion.

    To produce like rabbits is democracy and human rights you know.

    You don’t like democracy and human rights?

    You love CCP Chink communism ?
    You love CCP Chink forced labour of working from 9am to 9pm for 6 days?
    (CCP Chinks are proud of 996 no human rights)
    You love CCP Chink forced sterilization?
    You love CCP Chink loyalty to party and not country ?
    听党指挥,听贪号令

    GE2024.PAP.Guarantee.Win.HuatAgain
    Majullah $PAP$ $PAP$ Huat$ Huat$ Huat$

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  • Smart Nation:

    JOHN SMITH:
    My understanding is that ALL incoming travellers have to quarantine even if they test negative. Is my understanding incorrect?

    I think those tested negative may be allowed to quarantine at home. The virus could have slipped through because of false negative test results. The virus has made its way into the local community. This “Indian” variant is even more deadly. The younger population is not spared. The PAP had allowed travellers into the country, especially India, when countries like HK and NZ turned them away. Singaporeans will now have to pay the price.

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  • no personal attacks:

    I didn’t vote for TKL but he is not wrong here. He is urging caution, but no need overreact. We already in Phase 3. It is not justified to go back Phase 2, unless the community cases are much higher. Currently, the TTSH cluster is still considered low. Livelihoods are at stake here with these unnecessary restrictions.

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  • Smart Nation:

    LW was emphatic at the briefing to point out that the return or reversal to Phase 2 is not another CB! The reason is quite obvious. He is very smart which makes him a good choice for the next Seat-Warmer PM.

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  • Smart Nation:

    PAP CLOSE DOWN:
    It would be wise to ban people from India as theeir cases are nearing 20 million.

    https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/south-asia/indias-covid-19-case-total-nears-20-million

    How to ban them when they already hold a SG passport – “Singaporeans” but living in India! Sinkapur is “my country” too but Mother India is homeland!

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  • I Will Support You TKL:

    I will support you and follow you if you are willing to drink Cow’s urine and dipped your whole body into Cow Dung. What say you TKL ?

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  • PAP CLOSE DOWN:

    https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/ban-on-travellers-from-india-not-targeted-at-any-nationality-singapore-2422406

    Smart Nation: How to ban them when they already hold a SG passport – “Singaporeans” but living in India! Sinkapur is “my country” too but Mother India is homeland!

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  • more transmissible variants:

    //He is urging caution, but no need overreact. We already in Phase 3. It is not justified to go back Phase 2,//

    aiyoh. who wants Phase 1, 2, 3, 4 or 99 if can ?? if possible, I also do not want to put a mask (hard to breath ??) leh and I also want to be carefree leh and not having to scan safe entry or present IC / TT token (additional effort or becoming ‘robotic’ now) whenever entering a place which requires me to do so ???

    aiyoh. the more transmissible variants will decide or wake us up so that we can decide better which Phase we should be at lar ????

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  • oxygen:

    DO NOT OVERREACT, really?

    PAPpypolitics MPs cancelled all their forward meet-the-people engagements. Now who is “NOT” serious of reactions?

    Today, I read in Marketwatch.com this news read.

    India’s foreign minister exits G-7 over coronavirus concerns

    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/indias-foreign-minister-exits-g-7-over-coronavirus-concerns-01620205948?mod=mw_latestnews

    The reason/s

    Indian External Affairs Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar :(I) was was “made aware yesterday evening of exposure to possible Covid positive cases. As a measure of abundant caution and also out of consideration for others, I decided to conduct my engagements in the virtual mode

    IT IS DOWN TO THE LAST DIGIT OF RISK ASSESSMENT of just one foreign minister!

    And not serious, ddo not overreact still?

    Not sure who believes you, @TKL

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  • oxygen:

    @ TKL

    Coronavirus were detected among some members of Indian delegation to the G7 meeting in London.

    Check this out on Yahoo.UK.

    World heading into ‘very, very dark period’, WHO warns as India breaks COVID death record

    https://sg.yahoo.com/news/who-warns-world-dark-covid-152958002.html

    It is also NOT the 95% efficacy for those vaccinated of immunity protection as you claimed in another TRE thread.

    IT IS WAIT FOR YOUR TURN to be re-infected for those vaccinated, and then, unintentionally and perversely perhaps of asymptomatic cover afforded by and no thanks to this vaccination, spread to the rest.

    IN OTHER WORDS, THE VACCINATION CONCEALED THE RISKS DANGER AND HELPS IN ITS SILENT TRANSMISSION.

    Who knows, as of now – the vaccine is the cure OR THE CURSE of Satanic e*** hiding in darkness?

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