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Covid-19 is under control in Singapore

About 600 people have infected with covid during the past month. Many were infected with variant D.

Many people were scared about the large number of new community cases. I believe that the fear is not justified.

Here are my reasons.

I have been monitoring the number of people who are severely sick with covid and need to be treated with oxygen in the hospital. This number had remain stable between 10 to 15 during the past month.

This means that the 600 cases were not serious. Only 1 died (and that person is over 60 years). The others were discharged after being cured.

There were 2 other deaths from covid during this period. They were patients who were already hospitalized due to severe chronic illnesses. They caught the covid infection in hospital and died afterwards. The underlying cause is their poor health, but it was accelerated by covid.

If 600 community cases result in only 1 death during one months, and there was no increase in severely ill patients, it is quite safe to conclude that the infection has been mild.

The new variant of covid did cause a large number of new cases and deaths in other countries, notably India and Malaysia, but not in Singapore.

Why is Singapore better off than other countries? There are a number of reasons, which can be the subject of any discussion.

However, the fact is that the covid is under control in Singapore and there is no need to over react and impose strict measures on social interaction.

We should instead worry that the strict measures might cause harm to businesses and livelihoods. The economic impact could be more serious than the health impact.

It is safe to relax the restrictive measures and allow life to return to normal.

There is the risk that the relaxation could cause a surge of infection and serious cases. This risk may be small. We can relax the restrictions now and see if the situation remains under control.

If the situation does get bad, e.g. if the number of severely ill people increase significantly from the current level, we can review the situation.

I suggest that we only need to worry if the number doubles to 30 or more from the current level.

It is also important to allow life to return to normal and for people to regain their livelihood.

 

Tan Kin Lian

 

 

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READER COMMENTS BELOW

18 Responses to “Covid-19 is under control in Singapore”

  • Plse keep your mouth shut:

    Plse keep your mouth shut! You are no expert!
    If you got brain, you would have stop the non stop import of indian variant then. It is now to late. The damage has been done!

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  • Vice versa:

    GMS also no expert but talk ( post ) alot. Can ask him to shut up also ?

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  • If only caution has been taken:

    Vice versa:
    GMS also no expert but talk ( post ) alot. Can ask him to shut up also ?

    If only caution has been taken then to protect the citizens when highlighted!

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  • Let Business Improve ?:

    I disagree with you TKL. Let Business improve,for what ?

    The local business owners can make a lot of money, yes but who are they employing in Singapore ? These bastards are employing Foreigners. Where is their sense of Corporate Responsibility towards the local people ?

    Hope all of them go bust. Diu Nia Ma Ke Chow Hai

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  • Tan Tan:

    You spew nonsense after nonsense. Spend your retirement more productively please.

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  • opposition dude:

    Thank god textbook Tan isn’t the one in charge. Thank god.

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  • to rubber stamp:

    //GMS also no expert but talk ( post ) alot.//

    aiyoh. do not need to be an expert lar ?? even experts, professionals have different views lar ?? sometimes experts & professionals have to rubber stamp what their pay masters want lar ??? not true ????

    mask no mask ?? vaccines can cure ?? now vaccines not 100%, 95%, …… ???? the good thing about being an expert is that they are privileged to shift positions & narratives while knowing how to use / twist the language and wayang lar ????

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  • Harder Truths:

    The WHO says do not give children CoVID vaccine. But in communist $G children are Guinea Piglets.

    https://www.zerohedge.com/covid-19/world-health-organization-says-do-not-give-children-experimental-coronavirus-vaccine-shots

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  • xoxo:

    TKL,you need a test kit for your brain even as some sgs are using test kits fir covid?
    Go to IMH,there you can get FREE BRAIN TEST .

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  • Business suffer:

    Many small business are suffering…many are gone…
    Sad to see their many years of effort gone to waste…
    Life is so unpredictable.

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  • Is Tan Kin Lian Senile?:

    Tan Kin Lian,

    From the so many posts you have made, we can clearly see that you are obviously an attention-seeker freak.

    And I think you are getting senile because of late you have been talking nonsense. Not only nonsense but dangerous suggestions that will get many people in deep shit or killed.

    And worst of all is that you don’t even know when to shut up. Perhaps you know but you simply refused to shut up for the good of others, because you think that you are doing something good to help others. The sad truth is that you are not.

    By your idiotic suggestions, you are actually making things worse than it already is.

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  • Overly lockdowned:

    Yah. Too much lockdown in a tiny island.
    Can’t they think of dividing the island into smaller regions? So many mayors without clear regions. Time to do it now.

    Business suffer:
    Many small business are suffering…many are gone…
    Sad to see their many years of effort gone to waste…
    Life is so unpredictable.

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  • mike:

    Read about it. WHO u-turned some previous directives.
    But why A-star SG continued its way making above 12 to get jabbed?
    Because we SGreans are super human?
    Because we are global A-star city with A-star citizens?
    Because simply we can?

    When fits agenda, its about following the WHO.
    When it does not fits, it’s national security, we do not transparent for transparent sake.

    The mRNA vaccines long term effects on children are for these age group to live with, if they can live that long, 10yrs, 20yrs, 30yrs, 40yrs, 50yrs…

    Ultimately, all who suffered long term sickness will have to foot their own bill while continue to supply continuous flow of income to the medical and pharmaceutical industry.

    Most parents can always say bo-bian. Or else cannot go this cannot do that.

    As a witness to this part of history, it will be revealed to their children and they can judge later.

    The people deserves their gov.

    Harder Truths:
    The WHO says do not give children CoVID vaccine. But in communist $G children are Guinea Piglets.

    https://www.zerohedge.com/covid-19/world-health-organization-says-do-not-give-children-experimental-coronavirus-vaccine-shots

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  • Delta Plus is akan dantang:

    Is coming is coming.

    If Singapore insists not to ban flights from India and high risk countries.

    Delta Plus is basically B1617 Plus.Not to mention black fungus.

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  • a deteriorating standard:

    //If the situation does get bad, e.g. if the number of severely ill people increase significantly from the current level, we can review the situation.//

    aiyoh. when you start to see bigger number of something negative for a good while hor, any number smaller than that may be called ‘improvement’ or ‘under control’ or ‘stabilized’ ???

    sometimes, people are fed up over a bad situation, resigned to it and adapt to a lower standard because they ‘boh bian’ ????

    sinkie land is slowly like that, we are slowly adapting to a deteriorating standard – e.g congested and more pollutive environment where much green is being slaughtered by lots of high rise buildings (open-leg policy), vehicles and cyclists and pedestrians vying for road and pavement use (accidents and conflicts), road widening close to buildings where vehicular exhaust is a nuisance and not good for health, etc, etc. ?????

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  • Soccerbetting2:

    Reported on Straits Times:Quote-”….

    India has passed 30 million Covid-19 infections since the pandemic began.PHOTO: AFP

    Debarshi Dasgupta
    India Correspondent

    NEW DELHI – The Delta coronavirus with a particular spike protein mutation – dubbed Delta Plus – has been labelled a “variant of concern” by the Indian government.

    This decision was announced on Tuesday (June 22) after scientists working at a consortium of genomic sequencing labs told the government they had found evidence suggesting the new variant is more transmissible, with stronger binding to lung cells and a potential resistance to treatment by monoclonal antibodies.

    There have been at least 22 cases of Covid-19 caused by the Delta Plus variant detected in the country so far, in the states of Maharashtra, Kerala and Madhya Pradesh.

    The Ministry of Health and Family Welfare has advised these states to take up “immediate containment measures” in the districts and clusters where this variant has been reported.

    Measures suggested include preventing crowds and intermingling of people, widespread testing and prompt tracing as well as widespread vaccination.

    “The (central government) has sent an advisory to these states about their public health response. The measures, while broadly remaining the same as have been implemented by them earlier, have to become more focused and effective. We don’t want this small number to take a bigger form,” Dr V.K. Paul, a member of a government policy think tank, told reporters.

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    The ministry has also directed the three states to “promptly” send adequate samples of those testing positive to government laboratories for further epidemiological studies.

    The new variant, referred to as Delta with K417N, has been found in several other countries, including the United Kingdom, United States, Canada, Japan, Nepal, Poland, Portugal, Russia, Switzerland and Turkey. A majority of these reported cases are from the US, UK and Portugal.

    There is so far no publicly available data on how effective the vaccines currently being used in India are against Delta Plus and the government has said it will share this information as and when it becomes available…”Unquote.

    Response :India beasts has upgraded their delta virus to more deadly “delta plus”. Singappre should send e**l b**** Jayakumar ,Shanmugum,Indranee ,Halimah Yacob,Puthucheary to India to station there to solve the delta virus before bringing more India b**** to Singapore ! Better check how many billions is lost investing in b**** India !Pui !

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  • Thankful:

    Should be thankful that Singapore Covid situation is under control.
    Can’t imagine the suffering in other countries ….so many death.

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  • mike:

    Echo
    Foxtrot
    Golf
    .
    .
    .
    Yankee
    Zoolu variants are queuing up

    This whole world is very screwed. Welcome the new era of incompetent gobal leaders… or this is a larger conspiracy?

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