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New format for daily reporting of Covid-19

The Ministry of Health will introduce a new format of daily report that will not focus on linked and unlinked cases.

I agree with the new approach. The reporting on unlinked cases is not useful and could be misleading. It takes attention away from the important data.

I suggest the daily statistics report on the following:

a) number of cases detected through quarantine
b) number of cases detected through surveillance
c) number of cases detected through regular testing of frontline workers
d) number of cases detected through visits to doctors

The first three categories are likely to be mild, as they are detected through regular testing of subjects who are well.

The fourth category is likely to be more serious, i.e. the subjects visit a doctor because they are not well or have symptoms.

We should also report the number of tests carried out daily under each of the first three category, so that the incidence rate can be calculated.

At a later date, the quarantine, isolation and testing of the exposed subjects and front line workers can be stopped. This is not useful as most of the cases are likely to be mild.

This change can be made when it is clear that the incidence rate is low and the majority of the positive cases (especially of vaccinated people) are mild and do not lead to sickness.

As the covid is now endemic, these cases are likely to increase significantly. However, a large proportion of these cases will not lead to sickness, especially if the subjects have been vaccinated.

Furthermore, when the subject is exposed to a mild infection and recovered from it, the body will develop natural immunity which can supplement the vaccine immunity.

We can then focus on the cases where the subjects are sick and need to see a doctor.

I suggest that the number of people that are admitted and discharged from the community care facility and hospital be reported each day. This allows a proper tracking and understanding of the seriousness of the infection.

I hope that this approach is helpful.

 

Tan Kin Lian

 

 

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READER COMMENTS BELOW

22 Responses to “New format for daily reporting of Covid-19”

  • MarBowling:

    Like his IDOL Mai Hum, Medical Expert Tan Golden Chain has DECLARED Covid19 from Pandemic to Endemic! And he also AGREED to the New Format of the Daily Report of churning out Holee Massaged data!

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  • oxygen:

    COVID-19 IS SUCCESSFULLY “MANAGED” from A PANDEMIC development into an ENDEMIC spread of self-fulfilling outcome henceforth.

    Now the accompanying stooges of carnival jesters and circus buskers need to change their theatrical lies & bluffs to keep company.

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  • Delina Arumugam:

    “D” variant is more infectious but at the most, it is just as lethal as other variants if not milder.

    Virus will mutate to be milder so as to coexist with its host otherwise it will also die together with the host.

    The situation in Singapore is gradually getting from pandemic to endemic and the people in charge of the situation is in full control.

    Clearly, Mr Lian s/o Tan is a wise man who knows what he is saying.

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  • xoxo:

    Like before.
    Where there is GLORY,FASTER CLAIM.
    When there is *SHIT*,HIDE OR TAI CHI BLAMES?

    LOOK AT SUGA OF JAPAN.
    LEARN DIGNITY FROM JAPANESE.
    HAVE SOME SELF-ESTEEM.

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  • oxygen:

    @ Delina Arumugam

    YOUR LAST SENTENCE in this post below GOT ALL MY TOES ROCK UP in uncontrollable giggle.

    HILARIOUS.

    Delina Arumugam: “D” variant is more infectious but at the most, it is just as lethal as other variants if not milder.

    Virus will mutate to be milder so as to coexist with its host otherwise it will also die together with the host.

    The situation in Singapore is gradually getting from pandemic to endemic and the people in charge of the situation is in full control.

    Clearly, Mr Lian s/o Tan is a wise man who knows what he is saying.

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  • oxygen:

    FOR A WHILE, I GOT THOROUGHLY CONFUSED and thought that this article heading should read something like

    - singing and dancing whilst talking cawked AT THE SAME TIME.

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  • now all the old aged homes:

    got an uneasy feeling that the white idiots are going to mess it big this time ??? especially with all the don’t-panic type and those who want to open-up and are treating this rising numbers of infected cases as something that we are going to live with ??? now all the old aged homes is a big potential ground of rising infections & serious cases as vaccinated persons (visitors and care workers ??) can potentially infect one another from within ??

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  • PC Ong:

    When the pandemic first surface in early 2020, everyone was scared because we don’t know anything about it. Now the virus is mutating but with vaccination and better knowledge, we are mostly safe. We can’t continue to lock down. We should open up and travel should be permitted. The govt is finely balancing the economy and health, and it has been doing a good job so far because we have very few deaths, and our economy has been resilient.

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  • opposition dude:

    I would love to see this daily statistic which I know will never be printed but it would be good for a laugh.

    For example, yesterday we had 517 cases. I woul like to see this breakdown below if somone dared to print it out.

    517 cases, 80% were vaccinated, 10% partially vaccinated, 10% unvacinated.

    Good for a laugh don’t you think? HA HA HA HA HA HA HA!!!!!!!!!

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  • xjp:

    斩草不除根 春风吹又生

    Chinese proverbs are always the wisest.

    Those who think they can live with the virus because it is mild, will regret the day when the virus mutates and grows again.

    Ignore at your own peril.

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  • oxygen:

    @ PC Ong

    IS YOUR ABODE locates somewhere in TIMBUCTOO?

    Singkies “mostly safe”? I thought message circulating in social media has it that TOMORROW some 34 hawker food centre is closing operation (by whose order or voluntarily lock-down ??) to contain the spread of the mutated virus.

    PC Ong: When the pandemic first surface in early 2020, everyone was scared because we don’t know anything about it. Now the virus is mutating but with vaccination and better knowledge, we are mostly safe. We can’t continue to lock down. We should open up and travel should be permitted. The govt is finely balancing the economy and health, and it has been doing a good job so far because we have very few deaths, and our economy has been resilient.

    check it out, mate!

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  • maths idiot:

    @Oxygen
    You are a cynical and negative person. The world will not stop spinning for people like you. You can quote all you want from the so call experts from the internet, the world will move on and leave people like you behind in the closet. To me you are carbon dioxide, the waste and byproduct of breathing

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  • PAP is desperate:

    Strait Times: Proposed law seeks to counter foreign interference in S’pore politics, measures include take-down and blocking orders

    “The Foreign Interference (Countermeasures) Bill, which was introduced in Parliament on Monday (Sept 13), will provide the Government with a range of tools – including powers to compel Internet and social media service providers to disclose information on users, remove online content and block user accounts – to counter these hostile actors.”

    “Foreign interference” is a red-herring. The purpose of the Bill is to curtail free speech and/or to scare voters to prevent further loss of voter support.

    PAP must be desperate. It knows the next GE will be fought on cyberspace.

    Singapore is becoming more like China. PAP will eventually censor the Internet just like China.

    How will TR Emeritus respond to this draconian step to curtail free speech in cyberspace? Will it disclose information on users, remove online content and block user account.

    Tech: With only an email address known to TRE, what information can TRE disclose? Even the IP addresses recorded of our users are of the cloud servers that are providing our website’s proxy services and it is always the same IPs for all our users. lol

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  • Chan Chun Sing talking cock:

    Straits times: Yale-NUS closure part of NUS interdisciplinary road map, cost not the main motivation: Chan Chun Sing

    Right, it is not cost.

    The real reason is NUS (controlled by PAP) wants FULL control of liberal arts education in Singapore. Yale must not be allowed to interfere with the “brainwashing” of young Singaporeans. They must not be taught that they are suffering from Stockholm Syndrome. (Stockholm syndrome is an emotional response. It happens to some abuse and hostage victims when they have positive feelings toward an abuser or captor.) Young Singaporeans must not be trained to become idealistic because they will ask tough questions which PAP does not want to answer.

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  • commendable job well done:

    // The govt is finely balancing the economy and health, and it has been doing a good job so far because we have very few deaths, and our economy has been resilient.//

    hahahaha. a few deaths (so classified as due to CONVIT99 ???) ? now more community cases and more recent mati cases, and it is doing a good job ???

    the white idiots and gang really know how to spin a bad outcome into some commendable job well done (the result of 158th environment standard under ownself-check-ownself one party curry function ???) ?? perhaps ah ong does not know that many people are talking about this “good job” in the public ????

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  • WP Voter:

    Manage the weak and vulnerable. Do not manage cases. Open up everything. It is endemic. Allow more natural immunity to develop.

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  • Smart Nation:

    Have they no confidence in the vaccine anymore? The mass vaccination program was to help with herd immunity and make it safe for life to return to normal. They want people to learn to live (co-exist?) with the virus. It does not appear to be the case. By telling people to limit social gathering to once a day, and ordering shut down of workplace over one single case of infection seem like putting them on heightened alert. Maybe, they should coin a new phrase – “No-Heightened Alert Heightened Alert.” Can’t have it both ways – want to open up and yet want to impose restrictions. If want to play it safe, better return the ban on all unmasked activities and social gatherings (including dine-in) to prevent new and breakthrough infections, and possible mutation.

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  • “As of Monday noon (13 Sep), the Ministry of Health (MOH) has confirmed an additional 607 cases of COVID-19 infection in Singapore.”

    Is this an indication that the clowns at MTF are losing control of the situation and just allowing the pandemic to own-time-own-target?

    Back of toilet paper calculation says:

    1 week = 4200 cases
    1 month = 16,800 cases
    1 year = 201,600

    The above is only taken at an R0 of 1, what if it were 6?

    At an R0 of 6, the entire Sinkieland would be infected in approximately less than a year. Think Isreal.

    That’s living with the virus for you and the clowns are still thinking that just because they decided to open up the borders, those from Covid-Zero countries would dare to come. Childish!

    “In a statement last Friday (10 Sep), MOH noted that this is in line with the evidence that fully vaccinated individuals are mostly showing mild symptoms or none infected with the COVID-19 at all.”

    BTW, the biggest bull of a shit comes from the above statement. Those clowns are assuming that vaccine prevents infection and we know that it is not true. Vaccinated carries a bigger viral load than unvaccinated and is more likely to infect others.

    It is not the symptoms that we should be worried about, it’s the viral load, you idiots!

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  • Smart Nation:

    Israel is giving 3rd jab to children 12 and above who are fully vaccinated. Will SG be doing the same for kids in Singapore?

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  • oxygen:

    @ maths idiot

    YOU ARE A SELF-CONFESSED IDIOT – unprompted of encouragement – no less. Your maths below is all wrong! Hence all your embittered ad hominem.

    maths idiot: @Oxygen
    You are a cynical and negative person. The world will not stop spinning for people like you. You can quote all you want from the so call experts from the internet, the world will move on and leave people like you behind in the closet. To me you are carbon dioxide, the waste and byproduct of breathing

    Go back to your shelter in a cave whilst the world of liberal thinkers supply the answers (you can’t find) and ask questions to dubious answers of your supply.

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  • MarBowling:

    Smart Nation:
    September 14, 2021 at 2:08 am (Quote)
    Israel is giving 3rd jab to children 12 and above who are fully vaccinated. Will SG be doing the same for kids in Singapore?

    Response: Parents/Grandparents of Children 12 and above have to DECIDE whether to be POKED by the 3rd Jab! They must THINK IN DEPTH THE FOLLOWING FACTORS before MAKING the FINAL DECISION TO ALLOW THEIR LOVED ONES TO TAKE THE HOLEE JAB OR NOT! THEIR FUTURE AND BY EXTENSION THEIR DESTINY ARE IN YOUR HANDS, PERIOD!:

    1. When the National Vaccination started, our World Class Ministerial Trash Force of the 3 STOOGES(by following the Holee Advices and Guidance from CDC, WHO THE HELL and by extension, the Expert Committee)has proclaimed that EVERY SinKaporean who ARE WILLING TO BE POKED by 2 doses of the Holee Pfizer vaccines WOULD BE SAFE from being INFECTED by Covid19 and by extension its variants!
    2. They KEEP ON SAYING THE BENEFITS of being POKED OUTWEIGH the RISKS!
    3. The EFFICACY rate of the Holee Pfizer vaccine is 95%. NO MENTION OF WANING after the 2nd DOSE. Only on BACKSIDE oops HINDSIGHT, did they SAID, a Booster or 3rd Jab is NECESSARY to BOOST the EFFICACY back to 95% or MORE!
    4. ONLY THE EFFICACY and NOT THE SAFETY of their Holee Pfizer vaccine is HIGHLIGHTED. THEY DARE NOT WHISPERED A WORD OF ANY ADVERSE OR FATAL SIDE EFFECTS! Only MINOR SIDE EFFECTS ARE MENTIONED!
    5. The Manufacturer of the Holee Pfizer vaccine HAS NO OR ANY LIABILITY OR RESPONSIBILITY FOR ANY SERIOUS INJURY OR DEATH AS A RESULT OF BEING POKED BY THE HOLEE PFIZER JABS. Our Coverment has VOLUNTEERED to BEAR THE LIABILITY AND RESPONSIBILITY! The Big Q is : WHY???
    6. WHY the Coverment has GIVEN ONLY SCANT ATTENTION to other ALTERNATIVE vaccines like Chinese vaccines by ordering ONLY 200,000 doses(for 100,000 folks)of the Chinese vaccine, Sinovac(arrived here since Feb 2021 and only given approval in Jun 2021)while they have pre-ordered and PRE-PAID $billions of taxpayers hard earned money for at least 6 millions doses of the Holee Pfizer vaccines to POKE about 3.4 millions local WILLING FOLKS! ANGMO Tua Kee or because of some HIDDEN AGENDAS?????????
    7. WHY did Mai Hum RECENTLY sooooooo generously DONATING FOC huge amount of the Holee Pfizer vaccines to Australia(500,000 doses) and Johore(100,000 doses)?
    8. Under the SECRET AGREEMENT btw the Coverment and Pfizer Company, the batches of the Holee Pfizer vaccine are arriving ACCORDING TO AGREED SCHEDULE to SinKapore FAST And FURIOUS. LEADING to STOCK OVERRUN! No wonder the NEED for a Booster or 3rd Jab for WILLING Folks. No wonder the Tag Team is DESPERATE and Sweaty under the armpit!

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  • oxygen:

    @ TRE Techie

    EXACTLY, EXACTLY, exactly – we are on the same page of condemnation of farting political cows bullsh*ting unlimited.

    TRE Techie: BTW, the biggest bull of a shit comes from the above statement. Those clowns are assuming that vaccine prevents infection and we know that it is not true. Vaccinated carries a bigger viral load than unvaccinated and is more likely to infect others.

    It is not the symptoms that we should be worried about, it’s the viral load, you idiots!

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    My same conclusion is thus found here.

    oxygen: FOR A WHILE, I GOT THOROUGHLY CONFUSED and thought that this article heading should read something like

    - singing and dancing whilst talking cawked AT THE SAME TIME.

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