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A roving view of world politics

I am not a political pundit but what I am trying to do is to make a psychoanalysis of the political manifestations that have captured the imagination of the world.

The “thucidides’s trap” coined by Havard Professor Graham Allison to describe the hegemonic rivalry of US-China relations has invoked world-wide interest but is dissented by some eminent political scholars as of too remote connectivity to be appropriate for modern day reference. Does it appropriately reflect the current US-China hegemonic rivalry may be intriguing but the fact is the Americans are indeed haunted by the rising power of Communist China that they will be replaced as the world supreme power.

The Americans are not neurotic in having this apprehension. China is indeed progressively gaining in political prowess against the Americans but the Americans’ fear may be quite illusionary. Americans actually should have no fear that they would be completely superseded by China in world affairs. Whatever it is they will still retain their fire power and the loyalty of staunchly European allies who may not willingly accept the Chinese hegemony. The political reach of China may be dominant in China-prone countries outside Europe in Africa and South East Asia like Singapore and Cambodia. And the Americans have the resilence to rebound in the future. Joe Biden may not have the consummate appeal to non-Europeans but Xi jinping is not exactly a genial personality. Xi’s popularity outside China is really a question mark depending on which side of the political spectrum you stand.

The body politic of the world being what it is the continuation and intensification of the US-China rivalry is inevitable until it reaches a point of no return. But then it will not end in any war because the extreme devastating consequences will be sufficient deterrent for any party to start a conflagration.

Will there be any power on earth which could terminate this world-demolishing rivalry? Only God!

 

Yoong Siew Wah

* The author was the Director of Singapore’s Internal Security Department (ISD) from 1971 to 1974. He was Director of the Corrupt Practices Investigation Bureau (CPIB) in the 1960s, and had a distinguished career in the Singapore Special Branch in the 1950s

 

 

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READER COMMENTS BELOW

34 Responses to “A roving view of world politics”

  • Harder Truths:

    We live on a tiny island. Just be humble to everyone and bow a lot to big powers. Don’t take sides. This is the key to happiness and long life.

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  • illiterate pap voters:

    write what you think.

    do not quote alpha or omega.

    because alpha and omega are not you.

    moreover they are as helplessly stupid as any other.

    write what you mean, and mean what you write.

    whether it is thucidides whom no one has ever met nor graham allison who is equally elusive in 2022, they mean nothing.

    write what you truly mean. that’s it.

    no need any other backside to cover face. no need. after all, these thicidides graham allison are also mere humans, full of errors.

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  • illiterate pap voters:

    Americans actually should have no fear that they would be completely superseded by China in world affairs. ,/a>Whatever it is they will still retain their fire power and the loyalty of staunchly European allies who may not willingly accept the Chinese hegemony.

    we disagree.

    before the americans, we had the greeks. they died. even their language died until revival came in 1974. 1974. yes. after Singapore’s independence.

    the greeks died. then came the romans. they died too. then came the gauls. they didn’t take off. they were almost captured by the germans in 1945 before the americans came and freed them.

    on the other hand, unlike the greeks, nor the romans, the Chinese were in play since 5,000 years ago.

    therefore,

    the americans will go the way of the Do Do bird. for sure. with 100% certainty. only unknown is when.

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  • xoxo:

    China is steadily on the rise,whether ang mohs like it or not.
    USA is destroying itself in various ways.
    Twin Deficit$ at unbearably high levels,this will ultimately cause disruption.
    Yet,so many billionaires?!
    Meanwhile,let the show go on.
    Mickey Mouse will still try to put down the Giant Panda.
    But Giant Panda is a Kungfu Panda and will not be easily bullied.
    XJP is no push-over.

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  • USAtheMephistopheles:

    xoxo:
    China is steadily on the rise,whether ang mohs like it or not.
    USA is destroying itself in various ways.
    Twin Deficit$ at unbearably high levels,this will ultimately cause disruption.
    Yet,so many billionaires?!
    Meanwhile,let the show go on.
    Mickey Mouse will still try to put down the Giant Panda.
    But Giant Panda is a Kungfu Panda and will not be easily bullied.
    XJP is no push-over.

    I really hope you are right. I hate BULLIES, just like Israel bullying the Palestinians (while the whole world look the other way). The racist Americans are doing all they can, by hook or crook, to have all countries to take their side, against China. They are now at Asean doorstep. The Asean region has been a relatively peaceful region but now, we may expect our peace disturbed.

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  • MarBowling:

    illiterate pap voters:
    May 13, 2022 at 12:22 am (Quote)
    Americans actually should have no fear that they would be completely superseded by China in world affairs. ,/a>Whatever it is they will still retain their fire power and the loyalty of staunchly European allies who may not willingly accept the Chinese hegemony.

    we disagree.

    before the americans, we had the greeks. they died. even their language died until revival came in 1974. 1974. yes. after Singapore’s independence.

    the greeks died. then came the romans. they died too. then came the gauls. they didn’t take off. they were almost captured by the germans in 1945 before the americans came and freed them.

    on the other hand, unlike the greeks, nor the romans, the Chinese were in play since 5,000 years ago.

    therefore,

    the americans will go the way of the Do Do bird. for sure. with 100% certainty. only unknown is when.

    Response: very interesting comments, especially about the Do Do Bird. Wonder SOONER OR LATER the same or similar FATE might await the Lee Kayu FamiLEE and by extension the PAPIGS!

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  • Temusik Patriot:

    Trump wants to MEND the Fence with Shih,Putin n Kim…the devil invoke the Power of $$$ n replace T with B…n the world is not only facing A Pandemic but CONSUMTION or TB too

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  • opposition dude:

    Newspapers love writing long grandmother stories about how America needs to be #1 or how China is rising every few weeks or so.

    This actually just shows that the typical arrogant ang mohs still have the dinosaur thinking that they and they alone should always be numero uno globally and that everyone else should listen to them since only their opinion counts. Exactly the same as PAP, they think they should be running the show just because they have done so since 1959, never mind the fact that they have very mediocre people who can talk very well but are blur sotongs when it comes to getting things done.

    So with this in mind, it came as a great big shock to the ang mohs when Trump’s China tariffs plan backfired spectacularly on him and made the ang moh population sit up, open their eyes in wide disbelief and come to accept the fact that the good old days are all but over and that China is no longer a pushover.

    Whether or not America likes it they live in the real world and things do change. If they continue to paint China as an enemy let them lah, as far as I can see China doesn’t give 2 hoots about them or cower in fear anymore.

    It’s exactly the same for PAP who think that voters will just keep on blindly voting for them just because it’s PAP. They have forgotten that they have lost 2 GRCs with more to come in the next election.

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  • myfirstscrew:

    Looks like old folks are die hard fans of CCP, Yong same as TKL.

    To many, what is a super power? A super power who goes around helping and protecting other smaller nations. Yes US has been a super power, did you enjoy the peace and prosperity in this part of the world? Did US harrass or intimdate you to do this and that?

    China is rich and powerful, yes… we are Chinese, we are proud. But what does China do?

    1. Harassing and intimidating neigbours at South China Seas, building all kind of artificial islands, chasing non Chinese fishing boats…. and intruding into India via Himalayas. What 9 dot from Ming Dynasty??!

    2. Behaving like a big bully not brother: Insulting, intimidate and condescending (wolf warriors) issuing statements to other nations and even tell what other nations need to do

    3. Signing agreement with Solomons Islands to build a naval base to instill fear in Pacific Ocean

    4. Sailing its war carriers into Australian seas today!

    Mr Yong, you want such kind of big brother? Arrogant and full of himself?

    Dont kiss axx because you think they are rich and powerful. We need to look at their behaviour. They are looking more like a bully.

    For your information, a lot of Chinese and Hongkong companies have relocated from Hong Kong to Singapore. The so called super rich and loyal PRC such as Li Ka Shing has chosen to move also. This is what Chinese loyalty looks like.

    I lived in China for many years, most Chinese live on “利“,they have little concern over honesty, dignity or humanity, all they care is themselves and $. They do not do what they preach. I choose American over PRC any time.

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  • @ xoxo:
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  • PAP mandate strong:

    @ I really hope you are right. I hate BULLIES, just like Israel bullying the Palestinians (while the whole world look the other way).

    Why not Russia bully ( wage war ) on Ukraine ? Or Russian soldiers committed war crimes or acts of atrocities against Ukraine civilians ?

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  • China very good:

    One highly brainwashed sheep repeating western propaganda here.

    myfirstscrew:
    Looks like old folks are die hard fans of CCP, Yong same as TKL.

    To many, what is a super power? A super power who goes around helping and protecting other smaller nations. Yes US has been a super power, did you enjoy the peace and prosperity in this part of the world? Did US harrass or intimdate you to do this and that?

    China is rich and powerful, yes… we are Chinese, we are proud. But what does China do?

    1. Harassing and intimidating neigbours at South China Seas, building all kind of artificial islands, chasing non Chinese fishing boats…. and intruding into India via Himalayas. What 9 dot from Ming Dynasty??!

    2. Behaving like a big bully not brother: Insulting, intimidate and condescending (wolf warriors) issuing statements to other nations and even tell what other nations need to do

    3. Signing agreement with Solomons Islands to build a naval base to instill fear in Pacific Ocean

    4. Sailing its war carriers into Australian seas today!

    Mr Yong, you want such kind of big brother? Arrogant and full of himself?

    Dont kiss axx because you think they are rich and powerful. We need to look at their behaviour. They are looking more like a bully.

    For your information, a lot of Chinese and Hongkong companies have relocated from Hong Kong to Singapore. The so called super rich and loyal PRC such as Li Ka Shing has chosen to move also. This is what Chinese loyalty looks like.

    I lived in China for many years, most Chinese live on “利“,they have little concern over honesty, dignity or humanity, all they care is themselves and $. They do not do what they preach. I choose American over PRC any time.

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  • myfirstscrew:

    China very good: @

    Which part is propaganda?

    Only brainwashed China Pigs keep repeating “CCP or China propaganda that everything is western propaganda”

    Now China claimed WHO is western propaganda that zero covid policy is western propaganda. LOL

    Tech: From the onset, China has never adopted any of WHO’s bull of a shit recommendations and was merely accomodating most of WHO’s BS requests due to its duty to the international committee (sharing the genome of the virus, etc). Other than that, China has its own unique (and proven) way of dealing with the C19 and apparently it is working better than those who adopted WHO’s BS, albeit inconveniences abundance. Some countries had tried to adopt China’s lockdown initially but they couldn’t sustain it because of financial and mainly human factors, because its populace was not united enough.

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  • rover:

    @@xoxo
    So,you refer to Google,an ang moh vehicle and you expect them to nice to China?
    So,America is all perfect without flaws?

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  • China very good:

    Of all the “facts” that you list, which is true? None!

    myfirstscrew: China very good: @

    Which part is propaganda?

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  • ang moh lan chiao:

    @rover

    Hahaha,looks like some sinkies love to lick ang moh tua kee one.

    Come what may,they will betray own sinkies to suck up to ang mohs.

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  • @ xoxo:

    Hello, i only said too early making such claims. I just present the article.

    The datas ( i dont think its fake ) are presented by 吳曉波. Who is the author ? Please do your homework e.g. background check or data check. Is he someone boh liao ?
    Is he some pro china fans here write just for shiok without any source, links or statistics ?

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  • What world politics?:

    For some countries, their “world politics” is very simple.
    Australia PM wannabes compete on who can bring US marines to Australia.

    “The Opposition Leader replied:

    “I will make this comment, Scott. When I was a minister, we put US Marines into Darwin. ”

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-05-09/albanese-morrison-fiery-second-leaders-debate/101048232

    The competition is to be the top running puppy.

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  • xoxo:

    @xoxo
    What did i say in response?
    Ok,i just giving my own opinion.
    As for stats,you know as much as
    i that they can be presented in ways to support a writer’s own opinion.

    Lets wait n see if what i opine( own take) that Giant Panda will be on par with MICKEY in foreseeable future.
    I have the feeling MICKEY is feeling the pressure…so,the hostility.

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  • MarBowling:

    What world politics?:
    May 15, 2022 at 1:13 am (Quote)
    For some countries, their “world politics” is very simple.
    Australia PM wannabes compete on who can bring US marines to Australia.

    “The Opposition Leader replied:

    “I will make this comment, Scott. When I was a minister, we put US Marines into Darwin. ”

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-05-09/albanese-morrison-fiery-second-leaders-debate/101048232

    The competition is to be the top running puppy.

    Response: Mai Hum is one those top running puppies. He has just gone to LICK the 2 Harry Balls of the current US Pre$ident, Sleepy Joe. For donkey years, most of those running puppies would always PRAY and HOPE to be invited to have a PRIVATE MOMENT with the INCUMBENT to put on their Puki oops Personal Record that they have RUB SHOULDER with the MOST POWDERFUL OOPS POWERFUL CREATURE ON PLANET EARTH!

    However, there was ONE EXCEPTIONAL OCCASION when the INCUMBENT didn’t like ANY RUNNING PUPPY to be near him as he had his own PET to SERVE HIM ALL DAY/NIGHT LOONG: a faithful and willing pet by the name Monica Zelenskyy to SERVE HIM as and when he had a HARD-ON!

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  • Buckfiden! now a retarded USA:

    What does it profit men that they should gain Dominion over the whole world only to lose their souls to damnation?

    https://youtu.be/5c69MN8qpEI

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  • myfirstscrew:

    Tech: From the onset, China has never adopted any of WHO’s bull of a shit recommendations and was merely accomodating most of WHO’s BS requests due to its duty to the international committee (sharing the genome of the virus, etc). Other than that, China has its own unique (and proven) way of dealing with the C19 and apparently it is working better than those who adopted WHO’s BS, albeit inconveniences abundance. Some countries had tried to adopt China’s lockdown initially but they couldn’t sustain it because of financial and mainly human factors, because its populace was not united enough.

    Answer: Whatever China wants to do, we dont really care. Who cares about WHO?

    China govt endorsed pills Lianhua Qingwen for Covid treatment, we also dont care. We only care why Wang SiCong was arressted for questioning efficacy of government-endorsed Covid-19 pills Lianhua Qingwen.
    https://www.8days.sg/entertainment/asian/wang-sicong-question-china-covid-19-lianhua-qingwen-629871

    Many of my Shanghai friends are very angry with CCP and the lockdown, especially how many people are mishandled by the harsh policies without any consideration. This is Chinese people unhappy with CCP 0 Covid policy, again… nothing to do with us.

    China very good: Of all the “facts” that you list, which is true? None!

    Answer: Sir, let me give you some google answers….. if you dont know how to use google….

    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-53062484
    https://www.ft.com/content/e69ff835-cf63-40d7-8517-2f0c96d26db8
    https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/11/18/philippines-tells-china-to-back-off-after-south-china-sea-clash
    https://www.lawfareblog.com/vietnam-threatens-china-litigation-over-south-china-sea
    https://www.scmp.com/video/asia/3140980/philippine-fishermen-claim-continued-chinese-harassment-south-china-sea
    https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2020-11-12/china-attacks-fishing-boats-in-conquest-of-south-china-sea
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/china-could-have-solomon-islands-military-base-within-four-weeks-20220420-p5aevc.html
    https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/5/13/australia-says-it-tracked-chinese-surveillance-ship

    I wish all of you who wants to debate, please use show evidence… dont just talk cork.

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  • China very good:

    You can’t tell the difference between “Australian seas” and “Australia’s EEZ.” It is normal for warships to sail in other countries’ EEZ. Do you know how many times western warships sail in China’s EEZ?

    I can’t be bothered to explain why all all your other “facts” are also propaganda.

    “Defence Minister Peter Dutton says the ship hugged the western coastline sailing in Australia’s EEZ.”

    myfirstscrew: 4. Sailing its war carriers into Australian seas today!

    myfirstscrew: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/5/13/australia-says-it-tracked-chinese-surveillance-ship

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  • My first screw:

    @china very good

    I sent you so many articles; you only took one sample; does it mean I am 90% correct. What about intimidating and harassing neighbours?

    China so far from Australia; sending a spy ship for? Cruise? If Australia does the same; will China not react?

    You want to debate; please show evidence to counter all the evidences and nor conveniently pick one and blanket all is fake.

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  • China very good:

    Aren’t you familiar with the western claim of “freedom of navigation”? US, UK AND Australia frequently send their warships into China’s EEZ. Why can’t China sail in Australia’s EEZ?

    When you admit that your point about Australia sea is propaganda, we can talk about other points.

    My first screw:
    @china very good

    I sent you so many articles; you only took one sample; does it mean I am 90% correct. What about intimidating and harassing neighbours?

    China so far from Australia; sending a spy ship for? Cruise? If Australia does the same; will China not react?

    You want to debate; please show evidence to counter all the evidences and nor conveniently pick one and blanket all is fake.

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  • dave:

    myfirstscrew needs to be screwed. His little knowledge of world affairs, only able to parrot American anti China narratives, shows how superficial he is.

    Come, I love you.

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  • GoodPeopleFallacy:

    Ultimately, the blind leads the blind(continual support). Your foundation is ideologically western influenced and naturally your leaders colluded with the west. But is that wise? With an iron fist rule(rule of law) over the people, who are you to question their wisdom and motivations?
    The people who are under law tend to be blind, deaf and dumb.
    Well, you know what I mean.
    A good tree never bears bad fruits. If the fruits are bad, who among you is wise to know that you can’t, in all your smartness, tampered with fate.
    If there are no wiser men in your land, then you shall witness the tragedies of the fruits of the Knowledge of the good and evil of a “few good men”.

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  • myfirstscrew:

    China very good:
    Aren’t you familiar with the western claim of “freedom of navigation”? US, UK AND Australia frequently send their warships into China’s EEZ. Why can’t China sail in Australia’s EEZ? When you admit that your point about Australia sea is propaganda, we can talk about other points.

    Answer: You spend a “SPY SHIP” for “freedom of navigation”? And after you sign agreement with Solomons on security? And if it is freedom, why is Australian govt so alarmed?

    Of course you cant debate on other things as they are factual, all over the news.

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  • myfirstscrew:

    To all Chinese CCP lovers, first hand news from Beijing, now all residents need to show ART test done over QR Code if you wish to use a public toilet, transport and amenties. The old folks of BJ are very upset and angry over the harsh rules and regulations, especially many dont even have a smart phone!!! Many parts of Beijing are also under lock down!

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  • SS:

    The relevance of Thucydides seemed particularly great at the arrival of the Cold War. What better reflection of the conflict between the United States and the Soviet Union than that between Athens and Sparta? A half a century later, we still live in a world according to Thucydides, but with China now taking the role of Communist Russia.

    What humans keep doing is repeating the same ancient patterns of apes, such as fighting over territory. The idea that we can avoid the mistakes of the past is misguided. Time and again, rational calculations prove as faulty as irrational forces prove overwhelming.

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  • China very good:

    Why you so naive? Every warship is also a spy ship. Some have more capability than others. You think all those western warships in South China Sea and Taiwan Strait are taking sailors on a sightseeing cruise?

    You ask why is Australian govt so alarmed. You have to ask them. Also ask them why they sail their warships so near to China’s territory. Also ask them why they want to put their soldiers in Taiwan, a China province. Also ask them why they threaten war on China.

    All the facts are online, but you refuse to see. No point talking about other issues. By the way, all your evidence are western propaganda. You can’t come with a single shred of real evidence.

    myfirstscrew:
    China very good:
    Aren’t you familiar with the western claim of “freedom of navigation”? US, UK AND Australia frequently send their warships into China’s EEZ. Why can’t China sail in Australia’s EEZ? When you admit that your point about Australia sea is propaganda, we can talk about other points.

    Answer: You spend a “SPY SHIP” for “freedom of navigation”? And after you sign agreement with Solomons on security? And if it is freedom, why is Australian govt so alarmed?

    Of course you cant debate on other things as they are factual, all over the news.

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  • myfirstscrew:

    You cant debate with CCP lover and tongue twister. LOL

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  • Biggest Threat to Australia:

    West Australian Premier Mark McGowan has blasted Peter Dutton for his “highly dangerous” rhetoric regarding a Chinese warship off Australia’s west coast.

    “It’s inflammatory and unnecessary and I just think he’s the biggest threat to the national security,” the Labor Premier said of the Defence Minister’s tough talk about China on Friday.

    Mr Dutton called the Chinese military vessel’s path down Australia’s west coast in waters near Perth “an aggressive act”, but admitted it had not entered Australia’s territorial waters.

    Mr McGowan said he had no idea where the Chinese ship was heading, but that barely mattered as Australia and its allies also send warships into other countries’ exclusive economic zones – which under the United Nations’ Law of the Sea extends to 200 nautical miles off the coast and outside territorial waters.

    “I think we need to be very careful about language,” Mr McGowan said “You’re essentially giving other countries the opportunity to say the same thing about us while we adhere to the law and send ships through other countries’ exclusive economic zones, including China.”

    The Premier, who was a legal officer in the navy prior to entering politics, said the Law of the Sea was created to protect interests like fishing rights and oil and gas mining rights. It was never designed to stop the transit of ships, he said.

    “All this rhetoric by Mr Dutton is just politics. His language around war, around ‘We’ve got to be prepared to fight’, all this sort of stuff that’s gone on for the last year is highly dangerous, and it’s against the national interest.

    “Mr Dutton was just trying to stir up fear and all that sort of thing to try and win votes.”

    Other senior Coalition figures did not repeat the Defence Minister’s description of the warship’s path as an aggressive act. The Prime Minister, when pressed by reporters on Friday, declined to repeat the language and said no international laws had been breached in the ship’s movement.

    https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/7739331/dutton-is-biggest-threat-to-national-security-wa-premier-says/

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  • China very good:

    Loose screw, are you calling West Australian Premier a CCP lover?

    Australians can see through the western propaganda, which brainwashed you thoroughly. Stop regurgitating western propaganda as facts. So pitiful.

    myfirstscrew:
    You cant debate with CCP lover and tongue twister. LOL

    Biggest Threat to Australia: West Australian Premier Mark McGowan has blasted Peter Dutton for his “highly dangerous” rhetoric regarding a Chinese warship off Australia’s west coast.

    “It’s inflammatory and unnecessary and I just think he’s the biggest threat to the national security,” the Labor Premier said of the Defence Minister’s tough talk about China on Friday.

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