Survey finds 30% of Singapore secondary school students claim... I refer to the CNA report, “An underreported problem? Survey finds 30% of Singapore secondary school students claim they have been bullied.” (May 30) and “Jail for man who punched taxi driver for overtaking him” (June 05).
Most of us don’t like to see the occurrences of bullying in schools, as it reflects where...
Trump blinked again on tariffs, but China isn't in the clear I refer to the CNA’s Commentary: Trump blinked again on tariffs, but China isn't in the clear. (May 15)
One deniable fact: There are no winners on either side (between China and the United States) in the trade and tariff war. Yet, Trump still persists to do it.
It is not surprising that Trump has increased China's...
Podcasts didn't decide GE2025 I refer to the CNA’s Commentary: Podcasts didn't decide GE2025, but they changed how Singaporeans engage with politics (May 9).
The 2025 General Election has several features/characteristics that deserve our attention, discussion and
reflection:
In today era, technological revolution, innovation and advancement...
GE2025: Stunning victory for PAP I refer to the CNA’s report, “GE2025: Stunning victory for PAP, winning 87 of 97 seats with higher national vote share in PM Wong's first electoral test” (May 4).
GE2025 has clearly delivered the following key messages/notes from the vast majority of voters:
The Workers’ Party (WP) has done a fantastic good...
This is not a game of cards I can appreciate parties wanting to hold their cards close to their chest, but the smoke and mirrors games on nominations day, the shuffling of the DPM from a seat he had openly been declared to be defending, and other ministers shuffling constituencies leaves one feeling the PAP thinks it is playing a game of cards.
Constituency...
Is a Parliament full of PAP MPs really better for Singaporeans? I refer to The Online Citizen GE2025 news report, “Lee Hsien Yang: Is a Parliament full of PAP MPs really better for Singaporeans?” - (April 14), and “The Straits Times’ report, “GE2025: Singaporeans will go to the polls on May 3, Nomination Day on April 23” (April 15), and The Online Citizen GE2025 report,...
𝐈𝐧𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐝... Is the PAP of today exceptional, with unmatched competence and delivery? Afterall, that is their justification for the highest salaries in the world. Let’s look at its more recent track record.
Large numbers of NRIC numbers were recently unmasked, leaving Singaporeans exposed to identity theft, fraud, abuse and scams....
GE2025: Red Dot United to contest in Holland-Bukit Timah I refer to the CNA news, “GE2025: Red Dot United to contest in Holland-Bukit Timah GRC but may make way for Singapore Democratic Party” (April 10),
“More opposition 'star catches' are emerging. Is Singapore's political scene maturing?” (April 10) and “PSP says government response to Trump tariffs 'overblown',...
GE2025: Why Singapore's high-flying bureaucrats are recruited... I refer to CNA’s news, “GE2025: Why Singapore's high-flying bureaucrats are recruited into politics” (Mar 28).
It is not surprised to notice that in recent weeks, two NMPs and top ministry officials have resigned, fuelling speculation they could be fielded as potential candidates for the ruling People's Action...
More than 2.75 million Singaporeans eligible to vote in GE2025 I refer to The CNA’s News, “GE2025: More than 2.75 million Singaporeans eligible to vote” (Mar 25).
As Singapore’s General Election is due to be held within this year, the following factors will more or less influence the election situation this year:
A)The general mentality of voters
Voters are generally...
How the end of Ukraine war could be secured, even with waning... I refer to the CNA’s commentaries, “How the end of Ukraine war could be secured, even with waning US support” (Mar 4), “Lessons from the Trump-Zelenskyy meltdown- for friends and foes” (Mar 1) and “Will Trump tariffs push China to change economic tack?” (Mar 3).
Foremost, we need to recognise the reality...
Singapore Army Recruits Deserve a Minimum Wage Singapore Army Recruits Deserve a Minimum Wage: National Service Should Not Come at the Expense of Opportunity Costs
Singapore’s National Service (NS) has long been a cornerstone of the nation’s defense, requiring young men to dedicate two years of their lives to military, civil defense, or police service. While...
Trump-Putin deal on Ukraine will be Europe’s moment of... I refer to the CNA’s Commentaries, “Trump-Putin deal on Ukraine will be Europe’s moment of reckoning” (Feb 20) and “Ukraine can survive with the ‘least worst’ peace” (Feb 22).
Now, In the eyes of European Union, they have lost trust and confidence in the United States, it is solely due to the flip flop...
From Deepseek to Huawei, US tech restrictions on China are... I refer to the CNA’s Commentary, “From Deepseek to Huawei, US tech restrictions on China are backfiring” (Jan 31).
Would it be practical, useful and effective for the United States to continually pursue an aggressive containment strategy to hobble China’s tech push? Undoubtedly, the answer is obviously not.
There...
Don't get distracted by Trump's outlandish Cabinet picks I refer to the CNA’s Commentary: “Don't get distracted by Trump's outlandish Cabinet picks” (Nov 25), and “'No one will win a trade war’, China says after Trump tariff threat” (Nov 26).
As everyone knows, U.S. President-elect Donald Trump will return to power on January 20, 2025.
Trump has dismissed...
Iran’s 'Terrifying' New Arsenal Brings Israel To...
Iran unleashes "Doomsday Weapon" the Khorramshahr
Pakistan to nuke Israel if...
Iran rejects ceasefire, vows retaliation that would...
Iran burns Tel Aviv with fresh barrage of missiles
Iran targets multiple cities in Israel after pounding...
Iran targets Israel's Dimona Nuclear Power Plant
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Israel's air defenses breached by Iran's missile barrage
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Iran launches hundreds of drones at Israel
Israel launches air strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities
Real Footage of China's 2025 Flood Crisis in Yunnan...
Strong hailstorm strikes China's Xi'an causing airport...
Four parties lost their election deposits in GE2025
Level 16 super typhoon devastates multiple cities in...
Level 15 winds destroy buildings rooftops and cause...
TR Emeritus to 'shut-up' on 2nd May 2025
Don’t Rock The Boat
Trump and his ilk are at it again
我们是否该重新思考国防开支的优先顺序?
The three of threes about DPM Heng Swee Kiat
我们是否该重新思考国防开支的优先顺序?
Cutting down reliance on US military equipment
2025大选—明确授权,变化中的政治格局
A jaw-dropping election
The Nation has rejected multi-party Parliamentary representation
A False Analogy That Insults the Intelligence of Singaporeans
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Why Singaporeans Must Reconsider the Dismissal of SDP’s...
Expect the exchange of barbs in politics
Survey finds 30% of Singapore secondary school students...
Trump blinked again on tariffs, but China isn't in...
Podcasts didn't decide GE2025
GE2025: Stunning victory for PAP
Is a Parliament full of PAP MPs really better for Singaporeans?
GE2025: Red Dot United to contest in Holland-Bukit...
GE2025: Why Singapore's high-flying bureaucrats are...
More than 2.75 million Singaporeans eligible to vote...
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What are the most popular hobbies in Singapore in 2025?
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This is not a game of cards
𝐈𝐧𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐝...

Dr Chee fined again for speaking without a “permit”
The Secretary-General of the Singapore Democratic Party, Dr Chee Soon Juan has been fined S$5,000 speaking without a valid permit at Bukit Panjang in 2006. In his defence, Dr Chee said he went to Bangkit Road on that day to sell his party newspaper and has no intention to make a speech. It is not known what Dr Chee said exactly, but Deputy Public Prosecutor, S Sellakumaran said that "the relevant utterances were "highly suggestive that they did have the intent to make a public address that day" and that "common sense would dictate that if there was an opportunity for them to speak to their potential constituents and campaign on the issues, they would do so." This is not the first time that Dr Chee has been fined for speaking without a permit. Under Singapore's repressive laws, citizens are only allowed to speak at a designated corner at Hong Lim Park where CCTVs are put in place to record their speeches. Those who wish to speak in public must apply for a permit from the Singapore police which is almost always never granted unless the applicant is from the ruling PAP. Senior Minister Goh Chok Tong recently urged Singaporeans to continue giving feedback to the PAP and "constructive criticisms" will be accepted and acted on. Perhaps Singaporeans should apply for a permit in the future before they are allowed to provide feedback to the PAP in order to ensure that they are truly "constructive" in nature. Please join our Facebook page here and invite your friends to do so to create awareness of the current affairs affecting Singaporeans. Please use our online web form to contact us. Read More →

Global economies are heading for turbulence – ARE WE IN TROUBLE GOING FORWARD?
Strong headwinds ahead, global economies are heading for turbulence – ARE WE IN TROUBLE GOING FORWARD? Financial markets across the globe cave-in last week amidst contrasting optimism among economists in frenzied GDP forecast upgrades of the Singapore economy for 2010.- ST, 2 July 2010, A3, Prime News, Economists in frenzy of forecast upgrades. To be fair, OCBC economist, Selena Ling, is somewhat restraint of bullish outlook. She warned ‘formidable headwinds….brewing the the form of the euro zone debt crisis and renewed worries about a China-led slowdown.” The most recent past forecast was of May 2010 is for the growth to hit below 7 to 9 percent but the week past saw many economists rushing to revise their GDP forecast for 2010 upwards on the back of strong manufacturing numbers with DBS as high as 13% and UOB posting 9%. The contrasting numbers and the timing are interesting considering a whole slew of uniformly bad news hitting financial markets across the globe and most major European and US markets actually ACCELERATED their downwards decline from the week prior. The published impressive bounce forecasts of 2010 over 2009 had no positive impact on local stock market sentiments. No one pointed to the “no-so-obvious” void of inherent logical flaw of optimism – it came from a VERY LOW, indeed a NEGATIVE, base of minus 2.5% GDP decline in 2009 such that a 10% growth, even achieved in 2010, would have meant the economy grew by a mere 7.5% compared back to 2008. Not much to crow about of economic “irrational” exuberance over these seemingly ebullient “bouncy” numbers. The softer property market in Singapore mirrored that duller subdued reality and a more restraint outlook awaiting 2011. Notwithstanding this artificially strong (though not equally enthusiastically welcomed by stock market here) forecasts, this author is staking a view that the range of published strongly bullish forecast is MORE likely to be in error of being over-optimistic rather than realistic. The downside in Selena Ling’s cautionary note is, in my best informed judgement, more likely to bear fruition taking the world’s major economies into a double-dip and maybe Singapore into yet another surprised recession in the second-half. None of the impressive forecasts might materialise – even the lowest in the range of 9% GDP growth for 2010. The reasons are many and is shared in this blog for others who may have same or disagreeing views. The ebb and flow of the upturn has tipped over from the rise over the peak into the ebb slide downward – the inevitably of that is increasingly apparent from the consistent pattern of economic macro-economic numbers emanating. It is worrying. Financial markets are more likely to “forecast” economic direction correctly and ahead of actual economic swings and the week’s past market behaviour is eerie of my fears that all is ill of the world’s economic landscape beyond political of the recent Toronto G20 cross-Atlantic division of austerity drive and further fiscal stimulus against a background of continuiing sovereign debt crisis and German’s Chancellor, Angela Merkel’s unhelpful political setback on the domestic front. The global economic prospects in 2011 may well be hostage to the G20 split and Merkel’s weaken political stature – the obvious lack of co-ordinated economic strategizing so critical if Merkel lost her political base and G20 unable to act collectively and resolutely in crisis, noting Obama’s administration is also facing Congressional re-election pressures. I want to go back to the ebb-and-flow logic and observations. This author is constantly reminded of this pattern – a robust first quarter 2010 economic upturn across the globe and resurgent metal prices on London Metal Exchange in parallel. In that 1st Quarter, Taiwan sees biggest quarterly growth in over 30 years – even far more spectacular than Singapore which sank deeper in early 2009. http://www.channelnewsasia.com/stories/afp_asiapacific_business/view/1057952/1/.html The key flaw in there was strong corporate earnings during the first quarter in 2010 was that these were NOT uniformly supported by stronger sales but more due to costs cuttings. Sales had the supported to some extent by inventory re-stocking rather than adding on of organic business growth. Together they lifted GDP numbers globally giving stock markets the upleg rise in optimism. Commodities-based currencies like the Australian dollar and the Canadian loonies rocketed up to pre-2008/2009 levels. If one look at http://www.kitcometals.com, even a dog of metals like zinc and nickel peaked in late March/early April over 6-months interval view and infrastructure-sensitive copper – the PHD in economics - was US$3.50 per lb hardly 10% off its all time historical high. There were strong anecdoctal evidence that Chinese farmers are using access to easier bank credit to stock up copper for speculative gains instead of buying fertilisers. Staggering as this stocking of copper instead of fertilisers as might be beyond believability, market watchers in potash and phosphate markets were all stunned by the lack of buying interests in fertilisers demand when traders in that segment were busy forecasting a big upturn - after a dormant 3-year sleep and poorer and poorer harvest crop yields per acre. The upturn for fertiliser market was a non-event, adding to fear that some speculation in commodities and the bubbly real estate, aside from infrastructure spending, rather than real economy were driving the Chinese economic recovery in 2009. Anecdotal evidence suggest that the ad-hoc combination of quantitative banking easing, government stimulus packages and zero-interest-rate policies has distorted global equities, currency and metals markets. In the last quarter of 2009, The 10-year US government bond yields about 3.5 per cent, down from a five-year average of 4.14 per cent and its 20-year average of 5.57 per cent. Liu Mingkang, China's top banking regulator and Bank of Japan Governor Masaaki Shirakawa in Tokyo warned in November 2009 the US Federal Reserves that its prolonged policy of keep rates near zero for an ``extended period'' may lead to a repeat of the financial crisis. The reason is that Monetary easing in advanced economies has stimulated capital inflows to emerging economies,'' Shirakawa said http://www.smh.com.au/business/world-business/bubble-trouble-looms-20091116-ihtj.html And came May 2010, the Australian dollar, Canadian loonies, the entire phalanx of base metals and global stock markets all tumbled in mutually confirming synchronisation of weaker economic outlook. The question must be asked now is – was the outstanding GDP achievement in 1 Quarter 2010 the peak past of this “recovery” rise from a low base of 2009 aided by inventory restocking in consumer markets in the west and some wealth effect on consumer spending in Asia of bubbling real estate prices.? The answer now looks pretty much that way. And in June 2010, particularly, stocks markets globally slide accelerated – noting that each fall was steep and any efforts at rebound muted of sustainability to only modest gains and not durable of staying. Stock markets are decidely bearish since. Two weeks ago, I warned of China’s Shanghai stock market meltdown as the tripwire to watch and last Monday’s China-led sell-off held grim prognosis ahead for the rest of the year. China is the beacon and last survival stronghold of economic rebound seems to have buckled. We need to look closely at the reasons why. Besides “Kang Ba Shi” ghost town in Inner Mongolia, there is market talk that half of commercial properties in Beijing lies vacant. China's investments in new factories and properties surged 67 percent last year to 15.2 trillion yuan, more than Russia's gross domestic product. Yet despite all this apparent growth, electricity consumption is reported to be falling - which just doesn't add up. http://www.mineweb.com/mineweb/view/mineweb/en/page72068?oid=98654&sn=Detail&pid=92730 The growth in the industrial sector, is hoped, would more than counter the phasing out of less efficient plants. Would that materialise??. Look at steel sector consolidation going on. Vale and BHP Billiton struck deals with Asian steel mills that increased iron ore prices by between 80 per cent and 100 per cent in April 2010. http://www.smh.com.au/business/steel-makers-cry-foul-over-iron-ore-prices-20100401-ri69.html This is on top of 50% rise in iron-ore prices in 2009 – a staggering 130% at least over two years period. But what happened to steel prices in China in the same interval? Steel prices weakend in the June Quarter. If iron-ore prices – major costs component of steel manufacture - escalated substantially faster in 2010 than 2009 risen a few mutiple of its 2008 benchmark price and Chinese steel producers can’t pass the costs on to its end users – it must prove that Chinese manufacturing is weak and most likely infrastructure demand has also weaken. http://sg.news.yahoo.com/rtrs/20100625/tbs-chna-steel-shaoguansteel-7318940_1.html Industry sources said.. "Steel prices are likely to keep falling in the next three or even five months. The biggest uncertainty comes from the property sector, and demand growth in other sectors is also slowing down." And when Chinese Government tighten banking liquidity curbed speculation in its hot property sector, they knew that Chinese speculators are buying into 2nd or 3rd mortgages each piggybacking on the other’s ballooning asset valuations which could bust any moment with reverse cascading impact. Chinese economy, I believe, it bubbly and delicately poised on the knife edge. China stock market is heavily retail-driven rather than institutional. The extent, suddenness and steepness of retail sell-off on the Shanghai Stock Exchange early last week sent a tsunami shock wave across all global stock markets. One notes the liquidation ahead of the massive Agricultural Bank IPO said to be valued close to US$23 billion underlines the liquidity crunch in general and lack of confidence among Chinese of their real economies. We now know that it is sliding and much faster than expected. More of this a little later in this blog. And currently for the record, the US Government 10-year bond is even lower now at a paltry 3%. Against a backdrop is rising US dollar against all major currencies particularly after May 2010 global equities decline (except the Japanese Yen) spot gold keeps testing its historical high of US$1250 per oz levels whilst IMF is selling 403 tonnes of physical gold slowly since October 2009! – both underscore the fragility of financial markets and risks of another meltdown derailing global economic recovery. There is a noticeable flight from risk back to the scantuary of US dollar and safe haven hedge in gold instead of leaving money invested in real economies, even drawing blood from commodity-based currencies like Canada, Australia and South Africa. http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=USD&to=EUR&view=1Y These are ominious signs which cannot be ignored but its fundamental needs discovery of explanatory reasons by way of macro-economic statistics. The strenth of lst Quarter 2010 performance has to thank the tail end of global fiscal stimulus – USA, PRC, Singapore included. They put economies back to work which even saw improving employment figures in USA until this June sudden shock decline. Cash for clunkers (cars) and housing subsidy ended in March 2010 with housing settlement to finalise end May 2010. This lifted the last spree of consumer spending cashing on these subsidies – they won’t be repeated. Investors and economists were looking for macro-economic data post the end of this Obama’s stimulus spending to confirm that the US recovery is taking root, spreading grip and broadening base – THE BRIGHT SPOT WAS MANUFACTURING REBOUND notably strong sales in autos. UNFORTUNATELY, MOST STATISTICS CAME OUT SINCE MAY 2010 WERE DISAPPOINTING CONFIRMING THE WORST IN PERVERSE. The US Commerce Department, uncharacteristically revised the US 1st Quarter GDP growth twice, from 3.2% to 3% and then to 2.7%. in part due to weaker consumer spending. That was a hint that consumer spending had already started to ease off in a recovery even in the first quarter of 2010, which was driven by unprecedented government and Federal Reserve support measures. In mid-June, preliminary data from the US Commerce Department showed that sales unexpectedly dipped 1.2 percent to 362.5 billion dollars in May from the previous month. The decline, driven by sharp drops in sales of autos after the end of cash for clunkers and building materials items in a hint of weaker housing sector ahead.That was the first decline in 8 months. New-home sales plunged to a record low in May. http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/markets/federal-reserve-cautious-on-outlook-for-us-economic-growth/story-e6frg926-1225883503455 Yet Federal Reserve chief Ben Bernanke bravely told Congress that consumer spending was likely to increase forward and would be a key cog in strengthening the US recovery. http://sg.news.yahoo.com/afp/20100612/tts-us-economy-retail-sales-c1b2fc3.html Did that materialise? The answer is no. Weaker prospects are ahead for retail sector – even fast food chains like KFC, Macdonald etc are revising downwards their earning outlook for the next six month. With Europe debt crisis spiraling, Bernanke in early June dodged a question about whether he fears a double-dip recession, saying "nobody knows with any certainty." http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Double-dip-recession-What-are-cnnm-1239762472.html?x=0&sec=topStories&pos=7&asset=&ccode= Bernanke knew that the winding down of government stimulus programs and inventory rebuilding, which together accounted for much of the recovery, are the major factors behind a slowdown. At end June, the US Conference Board said Tuesday, as it reported that its consumer confidence index plummeted to 52.9 in June - the lowest level since March -- from a downwardly revised 62.7 in May. ANY READING BELOW 50 INDICATES A CONTRACTION. Until the pace of job growth picks up, consumer confidence is not likely to pick up. http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-consumer-confidence-plummets-on-job-worries-2010-06-29-102500?dist=bigcharts Pending homes sales tumbled in May to lowest level on record after tax credits expire. This statistic measures represents the number of buyers who signed contracts to purchase homes dropped in May. It is the clearest sign that the US housing recovery can't survive without government incentives. http://finance.yahoo.com/news/May-pending-home-sales-tumble-apf-2024500274.html?x=0&sec=topStories&pos=main&asset=&ccode= And then this shocker last Friday, the US economy skidded with broad slowdown in construction and its recently strong resurgent manufacturing sector basically and unexpectedly declined – as non-farm payrolls fell by 125,000 last month the first terrifying dip employment figures since beginning of 2010 after having added an average of around 150,000 jobs a month in the first half of 2010. In June, 652,000 Americans left the workforce - the sharpest one-month decline in the labour force in 15 years - as people gave up hope and stopped looking for jobs as employers chilled on new hiring. Banks and corporate sectors all preferred to hold more cash fearing the next round of Eurosone contagion spreading spinning the world down into another economic spiral. http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/markets/us-job-losses-deeper-than-analyst-forecasts/story-e6frg926-1225887389390 What is even more scary is global recovery bellwether stocks like Caterpillar, GE took a beating and even very strong perfomers like 3M here hit hard after this adverse economic news. Investors looking for a tepid US recovery had their hopes dashed. All key statistics to date disclose the US recovery faltered badly since the end of fiscal stimulus – retail sales, pending home sales, consumer confidence, and worse of all negative downturn employment needed so badly to be the cog of the economic recovery Ben Bernanke had hoped for. The only brights spots in the recovery signs – manufacturing – skidded badly. What about the statistic coming out of China?. It is also gloomier though somewhat expected. Economists had expected China to slow down in the second half to 8% to end the year with a 10% GDP growth after a fiery 11.9% gain struck in the first quarter. Most economists expects a sharp slowdown in infrastructure-related investment and, later on, property investment with corresponding delayed impact on demand for commodities and prices. But was that optimism held up? The answer is no. New measures were put into place to curb THE MUTLIPLE PURCHASE OF PROPERTIES by speculative money had collateral damage. http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/markets/chinas-growth-tipped-to-slow/story-e6frg926-1225876669135 That liquidity squeeze may have taken on a stronger negative impact than expected. Commodities prices, particularly economically sensitive base metal cooled along with the Australian and Canadian currencies. Baoshan Iron & Steel Co announced cuts in steel prices, at the same time as the CEOs of Coldelco and Freeport-McMoran Copper & Gold Inc, the two world’s largest copper producers, forecast increased copper price volatity and downside risks. http://www.smh.com.au/business/markets/asian-stocks-drop-on-china-demand-concerns-20100604-xjjp.html At the end of June, the US Conference Board corrected its leading economic index for China to an April gain of 0.3 per cent from a previously reported rise of 1.7 per cent, a sharp revision that undermined confidence in China's ability to sustain strong growth http://www.smh.com.au/business/markets/investors-flee-stocks-in-global-selloff-20100630-zjpo.html . The Shanghai Composite Index fell 4.3 per cent last Tuesday to end at a 14-month low. And it has fallen further since. Growth in manufacturing in China whilst expanding for 15 consecutive months slowed down in May reaching 16.5% compared to April figure of 17.8% . http://news.smh.com.au/breaking-news-business/chinas-consumer-prices-up-31-per-cent-20100611-y23b.html In the same period, China’s Purchasing managers May index slid to 53.9 from 55.7 in April. http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/markets/chinas-manufacturing-growth-slows-official-report/story-e6frg926-1225873953545 The same PMI figure again declined to 52.1 in June sparking fears that the slide in Chinese manufacturing activity is continuing. http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/markets/stocks-at-11-month-low-on-china-data/story-e6frg916-1225886813696 A separate measure, the HSBC China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index also showed a slowdown, falling for the third month in a row to 50.4, from 52.7 in May. This puts it close to the threshold between expansion and contraction. So what was surprising of Chinese macro-economic statistics? The slowdown in infrastructure construction had been widely anticipated. But why the concurrent slowdown in manufacturing when this was tipped to be a delayed ripple effect to come later after the end of stimulus brake? The answer is here. Chinese National Bureau of Statistics, the drop in the official PMI reflected the impact of policy tightening as well as a grim outlook in exports. I believe this could get worse, not better ahead for a number of good reasons. Asian factory data and falling currencies may signal crisis rebound may have peaked and it behind us. Manufacturing activity across Asia may have crossed a high-water mark after the rise and now be headed downward on the ebb - though economists have cautioned it may be too early to call the trend conclusive. Purchasing Manager’s indexes across China, India, South Korea and Taiwan – all export-oriented economies – have shown muted rate of growth signalling a synchronised slowdown of factory orders. South Korean manufacturing expanded for a 16th straight month in June, though the pace of expansion slowed for a second straight month. Similarly, in Taiwan, manufacturing logged its 16th consecutive month of gains - though the pace of the growth was the slowest in a year. India's industrial activity expanded for the 15th straight month in June, but softened to 57.3 in June from 59 in May. http://www.marketwatch.com/story/asian-factory-data-may-signal-rebound-has-peaked-2010-07-01 Recent weakening of the Indian, Taiwan and Korean currencies against US dollar suggest weakness in export markets. This is to be expected as EU and Japan have now taken an aggressive posture in favour of fiscal austerity. In the Eurozone, Britain, Germany and France, Spain, Portugal, Greece - spooked by Greece's near bankruptcy and a deep eurozone crisis – vowed fiscal austerity with the intent to halt the rise in public debt ratio to GDP and taking them to a downward trend from 2016. The negative impact of Greece meltdown have NOT yet impact on EU. It is NOT gone and the austerity drive have not yet impacted on consumer demand aggregate. EU is the largest market for Chinese manufactured exports ahead of US. With both EU and US heading for a definite slowdown, Chinese manufacturing already adversely hurt by the quantitative squeeze could erode faster than expected in the second half. The scenario thus painted till now points to a) Eurozone financial contagion uncertainty leaving ripple impact on economic activity to come and b) That contagion ripple of economic slowdown has spreaded to slower US economy and both will hamper growth economies of India, South Korea and Taiwan c) China will not escape the chill of these twin chilly blasts. My odds, as of now, reads – a robust 1st Quarter global GDP recovery aided by mainly inventory re-stocking, the tail end of fiscal stimulus, followed by steep declines in May/June of economic activity in US and China in the 2nd Quarter of a crisis recovery ebb leaving a compelling fear that the 3rd Quarter could shock the world with a double-dip recession. If and when that happens, I shudder to think what the final quarter 2010 of economic statistics will show. The stock market behaviour of steep declines in recent weeks and the failure of Australian mining shares to rebound this week (after the dismantling of its proposed super profit tax regime by newly elevated Prime Minister, Julia Gillard ) points in that direction of weaker global economies and commodities markets. Singapore GDP growth could well turn up a lot weaker than the 10% plus frenzied economic forecast for 2010 most eagerly touted last week. We could be in deep trouble again in 2011. Zhen He Read More →

50 reasons why I will NOT vote for PAP
1. I don’t want to buy a house with a Cash-Over-Value of $100,000 2. I don’t want to be accused of being fussy if I don’t want to live on the first floor or basement bomb shelter, or ulu ulu places like Kusu Island 3. I don’t want keep hearing that flats are “affordable” when I really cannot afford flats. 4. I don’t want to see foreigners flood our condos, HDB estates, MRT trains, buses, schools, EVERYWHERE 5. I don’t want to know about how ministers are getting lots of landed and prime property both local and overseas when I have trouble getting a 3-room flat. 6. I don’t want ministers who get multi-million dollar salaries when I do odd jobs and some months I don’t make more than $2,000. Ministers in other countries may take bribes and embezzle. My ministers are smarter, they get more money claiming more MILLIONS in salary LEGALLY. 7. I don’t want to pay ERP just because foreigners’ cars are clogging my roads. Especially, when ERP do not solve congestion problems!!! We still have terrible traffic jams! 8. I don’t want to do NS and reservist to protect my country against foreign invaders when: (A) I don’t have a house to protect (B) I cannot afford to start a family to protect (C) I have to protect foreigners and their property with my life when they run away during war. (D) Foreigner PRs do not have to serve (E) I get paid worse than a Bangala worker. To think that National Service needed people donation’s in 1967, after a year, it gathered S$ 3 million from Singaporeans when we were all so poor. 9. I do not want to see PRs and New citizens flashing their blue and pink ICs on their national days. 10. I do not want to see the shamelessness of importing foreign athletes and claims that Singapore won when a foreigner won. Oh yes, we pay these foreigners millions of dollars so that Singapore can claim that it won. WOW! 11. I do not want to hear jeering against the SG local soccer teams from foreigner spectators when we play against other countries IN OUR OWN COUNTRY! 12. I don’t want to pay 7% more for everything I buy in my whole life when the government gives my $200 in “compensation” handouts! 13. I want to see a local student being the top student. Not some China kid. Not hearing from ours kids that there is no point to work hard as some foreigner is going to squeeze them down inevitably. 14. When there is public curiosity, I expect my government (especially Law minister) to be transparent enough let us know about Temasek and HDB cost to build a flat, etc. 15. I want my country to be known as a COUNTRY. My country is NOT just a city like some idiot claims. 16. I don’t want LHL’s son to be the next succeeding prime minister. 17. I don’t like how China suckered us in the Suzhou park initiative and we still have to kiss their assess. 18. I cannot understand why local siblings cannot buy flats when foreigner PR siblings can buy flats. 19. Singles are not allowed to buy flats before 35? Are singles supposed to be forced into marriage just because of this? By the time singles reach 35, the flat prices will be higher by $100,000 to $300,000. These singles worked very hard to scrimp and save only to see savings ERODED away by inflation! 20. I do not want to read the paper when it is pro-PAP and there is major censorship and selective publishing and late publishing for what cannot be hidden. 21. I don’t want my life-savings to be belittled as the salt on the “peanuts”. 22. I don’t like it when my country’s reserves lost tens of billions of dollars and the PM’s wife can still head Temasek! 23. I want important national assets key to our security like power stations to BELONG to our country, not sold to foreigners. 24. I like to add hum to my mee siam by the way. 25. I want a president who actually DOES more. Not one which who I seek shakes hands, seldom speaks, does not even pardon and spare a 19-year-old kid his life. Not a president who kids confuse with Mas Selamat (Many kids who know Mas Selamat do not EVEN know Nathan) 26. I don’t want to have my next national day parade at the silly riverside place….AGAIN! How long does it take to make a stadium? We are a country but we don’t even have a national stadium?? How about loaning Malaysia’s Merdeka Stadium for Singapore’s National day? 27. I want job security. A contract for 1 or 2 years, Then look for work again. The cycle repeats. We have to worry for our jobs and livelihoods on a daily basis. When we are over 40 years old, who want us anymore? I might as well join the army as sign on. But wait, that is contract TOO! 28. I don’t want the next generation to suffer like me in university. I had to work part-time to support my uni fees in NUS, while foreign students get free uni education thanks to MOE PLUS $500 allowance every month. After that, NUS still has the cheek to call me up and ask me to donate to NUS. Why they need money? They lost hundreds of millions of endowment in the financial crisis. I can still remember working and saving for 3 months before I could afford a 2nd hand laptop. 29. I want to protest in the streets to voice my discontent without being put to jail by the ISA act or made bankrupt. For goodness sake, I don’t even dare to accept Singtel’s offer of giving me free 6 months internet if I switch from Starhub to Singtel, because I am scared that my IP address and my name will be blacklisted by the government. (considering Singtel’s afflictions with the govt) 30. I want an opposition party in power. Any opposition is welcome. As educated and smart as my current and soon-to-be-ex ministers may be, I want people who CARE and LISTEN. Even if it is a guy who had graduated from kindergarten would be welcomed if he cares. 31. Elites who have been born with a silver spoon, who never had trouble finding a job, who never had money difficulties, who never went hungry, who breezed through NS, do NOT deserve my respect nor should they be in the government. We need people who UNDERSTAND what it is like at the pits and bottom! Not some shortie who claims to understand hardship with a childhood living in 3-room flat but marries an angmoh and lives in a landed mansion. 32. I want a better electoral system! I don’t want WALK-OVERs again. Some of the seniors did not even get to vote ONCE in their whole lives. How is that democracy? 33. I want fairness. Is it a coincidence that certain estates under certain members of our government are especially well-cared for with upgrading etc incentives? Is this fair? Are residents of areas under the opposition similarly cared for? I quote a resident from Potong Pasir “the lifts here are so old and I can’t climb the flight of stairs to reach my place anymore.” I supposed the 60 year old aunty would be forced to vote for PAP to get new lifts. 34. I want a limit to the number of years the PM can hold office, so that as bad and as lousy as the PM is, we can at least have a chance to start afresh. 35. I want small quotas/ratios legislated for foreigners. 36. I want foreigners to be restricted to less than 20% of our population instead of 36%. 37. MBT actually said that foreigner PRs were under-represented in HDB flats. Pah! No more than 2 flats in a block should be sold to PRs! Otherwise, how can the many old uncles and aunties have pocket money for retirement by renting out flats? 38. I want their CPF contribution percent to be much higher and that their CPF to be forfeited if they leave SG. 39. I want higher income taxes and property taxes for foreigners. 40. I want NS for foreigners. 41. Foreigners who bought HDB flats cannot be allowed to rent their flat out EVER! 42. I want the SGD to be moderated downwards! A higher SGD may benefit those who can afford to holiday overseas, those who are rich enough to send kids to overseas for studies, or PRs and foreigners when they remit money home. BUT overly high SGD deters investments into Singapore. 43. I want curbs on inflation. To that effect, we need to install restrictions on property speculation, raise reserve ratios in banks, and have more stringent criteria before loans are issued. AND OF COURSE, GST lower back to 3% 44. When foreign talent enters my country. I want these people to be REALLY foreign talent. I don’t want my country’s pink IC and PR to be handed out like toilet paper. 45. I want more heavily subsidized birth-delivery, child-care, pediatric health and education care to boost local numbers. If S.Korea can do it, why not us? The practice of replacement diminishing local numbers with foreigner number MUST STOP. 46. Instead of always saying Singapore does not have enough talent, will the government spend more money and effort in education and grooming the young? Every time they say that there is not enough of certain type of people, the government will import these people in masses and hordes. 47. I expect government-affiliated institutions to not indulge themselves with luxuries when other citizens have bread-butter problems: When NTUC income unilaterally announced major cuts in its bonus for insurance-policy-holders, the MAS allowed this to happen. NTUC income claimed financial woes, but took HUNDREDS of agents to Australia for an exorbitant expense-paid holiday as they made the announcement earlier this year!!! Do they think about the widows and orphans when they dine fine with wine??? At first I could not believe NTUC Income to be capable of this, then I checked on the web and saw the NTUC CEO hugging 2 BIKINI girls and drinking champagne in Australia too. (1) http://ms-my.facebook.com/photo.php?…1001838&ref=mf (2) http://ms-my.facebook.com/photo.php?…1001838&ref=mf 48. I expect the MAS to protect citizens financially too: When thousands of investors lost their life savings in the mini-bond fiasco, where was the government?? Unlike the Hong Kong government which had exerted pressure on its local banks to compensate a minimum sum to its minibond holders, the Singapore authorities chose to stay out of the matter….. MM Lee Kuan Yew even chided Singapore investors for “walking in with their eyes open” and therefore did not deserve a compensation. 49. I have 1 more issue with the state Media Press. HOW can they publish photos of people suspected of crimes when they have not EVEN been convicted?? Imagine the tarnishing to the poor suspect’s reputation if he were innocent! It is not as if the guy can sue ST and get $400,000 in defamation compensation. 50. Anyone can give the 50th reason??????????????? Come on my fellow locals. If I can say so much, you can at least say something! Few thousand people viewing this article and so little comments??? A Bitter Singaporean Read More →
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