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Podcasts didn't decide GE2025Podcasts didn't decide GE2025 I refer to the CNA’s Commentary: Podcasts didn't decide GE2025, but they changed how Singaporeans engage with politics (May 9). The 2025 General Election has several features/characteristics that deserve our attention, discussion and reflection: In today era, technological revolution, innovation and advancement...

GE2025: Stunning victory for PAPGE2025: Stunning victory for PAP I refer to the CNA’s report, “GE2025: Stunning victory for PAP, winning 87 of 97 seats with higher national vote share in PM Wong's first electoral test” (May 4). GE2025 has clearly delivered the following key messages/notes from the vast majority of voters: The Workers’ Party (WP) has done a fantastic good...

This is not a game of cardsThis is not a game of cards I can appreciate parties wanting to hold their cards close to their chest, but the smoke and mirrors games on nominations day, the shuffling of the DPM from a seat he had openly been declared to be defending, and other ministers shuffling constituencies leaves one feeling the PAP thinks it is playing a game of cards. Constituency...

Is a Parliament full of PAP MPs really better for Singaporeans?Is a Parliament full of PAP MPs really better for Singaporeans? I refer to The Online Citizen GE2025 news report, “Lee Hsien Yang: Is a Parliament full of PAP MPs really better for Singaporeans?” - (April 14), and “The Straits Times’ report, “GE2025: Singaporeans will go to the polls on May 3, Nomination Day on April 23” (April 15), and The Online Citizen GE2025 report,...

𝐈𝐧𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐧𝐞𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐀𝐜𝐜𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐛𝐢𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐲𝐈𝐧𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐝... Is the PAP of today exceptional, with unmatched competence and delivery? Afterall, that is their justification for the highest salaries in the world. Let’s look at its more recent track record. Large numbers of NRIC numbers were recently unmasked, leaving Singaporeans exposed to identity theft, fraud, abuse and scams....

GE2025: Red Dot United to contest in Holland-Bukit TimahGE2025: Red Dot United to contest in Holland-Bukit Timah I refer to the CNA news, “GE2025: Red Dot United to contest in Holland-Bukit Timah GRC but may make way for Singapore Democratic Party” (April 10), “More opposition 'star catches' are emerging. Is Singapore's political scene maturing?” (April 10) and “PSP says government response to Trump tariffs 'overblown',...

GE2025: Why Singapore's high-flying bureaucrats are recruited into politicsGE2025: Why Singapore's high-flying bureaucrats are recruited... I refer to CNA’s news, “GE2025: Why Singapore's high-flying bureaucrats are recruited into politics” (Mar 28). It is not surprised to notice that in recent weeks, two NMPs and top ministry officials have resigned, fuelling speculation they could be fielded as potential candidates for the ruling People's Action...

More than 2.75 million Singaporeans eligible to vote in GE2025More than 2.75 million Singaporeans eligible to vote in GE2025 I refer to The CNA’s News, “GE2025: More than 2.75 million Singaporeans eligible to vote” (Mar 25). As Singapore’s General Election is due to be held within this year, the following factors will more or less influence the election situation this year: A)The general mentality of voters Voters are generally...

How the end of Ukraine war could be secured, even with waning US supportHow the end of Ukraine war could be secured, even with waning... I refer to the CNA’s commentaries, “How the end of Ukraine war could be secured, even with waning US support” (Mar 4), “Lessons from the Trump-Zelenskyy meltdown- for friends and foes” (Mar 1) and “Will Trump tariffs push China to change economic tack?” (Mar 3). Foremost, we need to recognise the reality...

Singapore Army Recruits Deserve a Minimum WageSingapore Army Recruits Deserve a Minimum Wage Singapore Army Recruits Deserve a Minimum Wage: National Service Should Not Come at the Expense of Opportunity Costs Singapore’s National Service (NS) has long been a cornerstone of the nation’s defense, requiring young men to dedicate two years of their lives to military, civil defense, or police service. While...

Trump-Putin deal on Ukraine will be Europe’s moment of reckoningTrump-Putin deal on Ukraine will be Europe’s moment of... I refer to the CNA’s Commentaries, “Trump-Putin deal on Ukraine will be Europe’s moment of reckoning” (Feb 20) and “Ukraine can survive with the ‘least worst’ peace” (Feb 22). Now, In the eyes of European Union, they have lost trust and confidence in the United States, it is solely due to the flip flop...

From Deepseek to Huawei, US tech restrictions on China are backfiringFrom Deepseek to Huawei, US tech restrictions on China are... I refer to the CNA’s Commentary, “From Deepseek to Huawei, US tech restrictions on China are backfiring” (Jan 31). Would it be practical, useful and effective for the United States to continually pursue an aggressive containment strategy to hobble China’s tech push? Undoubtedly, the answer is obviously not. There...

Don't get distracted by Trump's outlandish Cabinet picksDon't get distracted by Trump's outlandish Cabinet picks I refer to the CNA’s Commentary: “Don't get distracted by Trump's outlandish Cabinet picks” (Nov 25), and “'No one will win a trade war’, China says after Trump tariff threat” (Nov 26). As everyone knows, U.S. President-elect Donald Trump will return to power on January 20, 2025. Trump has dismissed...

Putin escalates Ukraine warPutin escalates Ukraine war I refer to The CNA’s Commentary: “Putin escalates Ukraine war by a step, not a leap, with missile experiment” (Nov 23). Foremost, Zelenskyi’s intention to join Nato has greatly threatened the security and survival of Russia. Hence, Zelenskyy has offended Putin and Putin has no choice but to launch a war with...

Will PM Wong address the astronomical ministerial salaries?Will PM Wong address the astronomical ministerial salaries? I refer to The TR-Emeritus opinion article, “Will PM Wong address the astronomical ministerial salaries” (June 14) by Mr Yoong Siew Wah. It has always been a controversial topic which concerns about our top political leaders who receive their salaries that are many times higher than those foreign political leaders. Our...

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Editorials
Strong hailstorm strikes China's Xi'an causing airport...

Strong hailstorm strikes China's Xi'an causing airport...

On the evening of May 8, Xi’an, the capital city of China’s Shaanxi Province, was struck by a powerful...
Four parties lost their election deposits in GE2025

Four parties lost their election deposits in GE2025

A total of four opposition parties, the Singapore United Party (SUP), People's Power Party (PPP), People’s...
Level 16 super typhoon devastates multiple cities in...

Level 16 super typhoon devastates multiple cities in...

Northern China was hit by an extreme weather event on Thursday as a massive cold front swept south, colliding...
Level 15 winds destroy buildings rooftops and cause...

Level 15 winds destroy buildings rooftops and cause...

On April 30, northern China was struck by an extreme weather event as a massive cold vortex surged southward,...
TR Emeritus to 'shut-up' on 2nd May 2025

TR Emeritus to 'shut-up' on 2nd May 2025

Please be informed that TR Emeritus (TRE) will shut down its comment function site-wide at 0000 hours...
Chaos in China as extreme storm destroys homes and...

Chaos in China as extreme storm destroys homes and...

Beijing’s 22 million residents were asked to stay indoors on Saturday, as powerful winds swept across...
China, Thailand, and Myanmar in ruins after devastating...

China, Thailand, and Myanmar in ruins after devastating...

On March 28, 2025, a devastating 7.7-magnitude earthquake struck central Myanmar near Mandalay, causing...
Myanmar 7.7 earthquake collapses buildings in Thailand,...

Myanmar 7.7 earthquake collapses buildings in Thailand,...

A powerful 7.7 magnitude earthquake struck central Myanmar on March 28, 2025, causing widespread panic...
Beijing shocked by earthquake and mega sandstorm

Beijing shocked by earthquake and mega sandstorm

Since March 24, 2025, northern China has been battling extreme weather as a massive sandstorm swept through...
Mega hail causes mass destruction in Fujian and Guangdong

Mega hail causes mass destruction in Fujian and Guangdong

An unexpected and severe hailstorm struck multiple cities in Guangdong and Fujian between March 3 and...
Extreme weather struck multiple regions in China

Extreme weather struck multiple regions in China

On March 2, 2025, extreme weather struck multiple regions in China, with parts of Henan province experiencing...
Happy Chinese New Year 2025

Happy Chinese New Year 2025

Wishing all our Chinese readers:     Team@TR Emeritus  
Huge snow caused numerous disruptions on China's major...

Huge snow caused numerous disruptions on China's major...

As the Chinese New Year approaches, millions of people across the country are making their annual journey...
The rapidly spreading HMPV virus you haven’t heard...

The rapidly spreading HMPV virus you haven’t heard...

Human Metapneumovirus (HMPV) is making headlines as cases surge, especially among children and vulnerable...
4.1 magnitude earthquake shakes Shanxi's Linfeng city

4.1 magnitude earthquake shakes Shanxi's Linfeng city

On the evening of January 10, 2025, Linfen City in Shanxi Province was struck by an earthquake. The tremor,...
7.8 magnitude earthquake devastates Tibet

7.8 magnitude earthquake devastates Tibet

A magnitude 7.1 earthquake has hit Tibet, in the region of Shigatse, which is near the border with Nepal. According...
Outbreak of mystery virus in China

Outbreak of mystery virus in China

China is r eportedly facing a new health crisis as the human metapneumovirus (HMPV) outbreak rapidly...
Unknown Virus Rampages in China; Hospitals Utterly...

Unknown Virus Rampages in China; Hospitals Utterly...

A blogger in China has shared a video, claiming that this isn’t China’s Spring Festival travel rush;...
Opinions
The three of threes about DPM Heng Swee Kiat

The three of threes about DPM Heng Swee Kiat

The first part of the threes is about the when, the how and the why? And it is about his retirement...
我们是否该重新思考国防开支的优先顺序?

我们是否该重新思考国防开支的优先顺序?

新加坡政府近日宣布将采购两艘额外的“无畏级”潜艇,引发了一个重要问题:我们的国防力量,到底需要多强? 毫无疑问,一个强大且可信的军队对于保障国家主权与威慑潜在威胁是不可或缺的。新加坡地处战略要冲,国土面积有限,因此需要一支现代化的武装部队。然而,当我们对比邻国——马来西亚拥有两艘潜艇、印尼正逐步扩展至十二艘——新加坡在水下战力上已处于领先地位。这不禁让人质疑,我们是否正引领着一场无声的区域军备竞赛? 问题在于:当威慑的需求被满足后,继续扩军是否已经超出必要? 一艘“无畏级”潜艇的估价超过十亿新元,还不包括长期的运营与维护成本。这两艘新潜艇的资金,若能转用于迫切的民生需求,例如医疗保健、老龄化支援、教育及弱势群体扶助,或许对社会的整体韧性更具意义。 政府一再强调国防开支是经过审慎规划的,但当生活成本日益上升,政府却仍需将消费税(Gst)提高至9%甚至更多,这种矛盾不禁令人困惑。如果某些战略性国防项目能够延后或循序推进,节省下来的资源是否可以用于社会发展呢? “全面防卫”不仅仅是硬件实力,更是要赢得人民的心与信任。让人民感到安心、有保障、受到重视,这种安全感无法靠潜艇来衡量,而是通过每一位国人的生活实感体现出来。 这并非是在呼吁削弱我们的国防,而是呼吁我们重新思考国家的优先事项。当我们继续推进军事现代化的同时,也不要忽视同样重要的任务——巩固社会契约、增强国民凝聚力。   Cwc-Ai  
Cutting down reliance on US military equipment

Cutting down reliance on US military equipment

There is a rampant rumor going around that claims Egypt has ordered 48 J10C with a price tag of USD$25B...
2025大选—明确授权,变化中的政治格局

2025大选—明确授权,变化中的政治格局

2025年大选结果无可争议,政府再次赢得了强有力的授权,稳固了其在新加坡政治格局中的主导地位。尽管选举结果并不令人意外,但胜利的过程却并非没有争议和复杂性。 值得注意的是,选区划分的变化在本次选战中发挥了重要作用。陈清木医生与徐顺全医生等资深反对派人物,因选区重划而受到显著影响——传统支持基础被分割或并入他区,无疑左右了某些关键选区的最终结果。虽然选区调整在新加坡选举历史上并不罕见,但其公平性与透明度仍持续引发讨论。 工人党虽稳守东北区的传统堡垒,但未能在本届大选中攻下新的选区。不过,该党仍获得两个非选区议员(Ncmp)席位,虽属安慰性质,却在象征意义上维持了国会内多元声音的存在。 更值得关注的是,本届大选所处的人口背景正经历剧烈变化。新加坡人口从2000年的约300万增长至2025年的超过500万。考虑到多年来出生率持续偏低,这一增长几乎可以肯定主要归因于移民流入,尤其可能在华人群体中增长显著。这一趋势对国家的社会结构和政治生态产生了深远影响。 展望2030年大选,各政党不仅要面对一如既往的选区调整与突发的全球事件,更需正视一个不断演变的社会结构。随着越来越多新移民成为国民,选民构成日益多元,政党在政策制定与信息传递上必须更具包容性与前瞻性。他们必须同时争取老一代公民与新加坡新公民的认同,回应共同关切,并跨越代际与文化差异的鸿沟。 在新加坡持续向前迈进的过程中,其政治也必须与时俱进——反映日益多元的人口现实,同时坚守国家的核心价值观:团结、韧性与务实。 Cwc-Ai
A jaw-dropping election

A jaw-dropping election

This is a jaw-dropping election. For the opposition. SDP’s Dr Chee and PSP’s Leong were deeply disappointed....
The Nation has rejected multi-party Parliamentary representation

The Nation has rejected multi-party Parliamentary representation

Our party suffered great losses and I personally have suffered the greatest hit. But these personal losses...
A False Analogy That Insults the Intelligence of Singaporeans

A False Analogy That Insults the Intelligence of Singaporeans

Minister Ong Ye Kung’s recent assertion that a “co-driver” bears no responsibility if a car crashes...
There is a cost to losing

There is a cost to losing

There is a cost to losing. At least in PAP’s books. And one of the costs is a policy of priority. That...
Hougang Belongs to the People

Hougang Belongs to the People

Thank You for the Reminder, Mr Marshall Lim. It is with no small measure of amusement that one reads...
Its all about trust

Its all about trust

Dr Ng Eng Hen from PAP has pointed out the most important key point about this General Elections, it...
Misunderstanding What Singaporeans Truly Expect from...

Misunderstanding What Singaporeans Truly Expect from...

The government's repeated assertion that it is "easy for the opposition to ask the government to give...
Punggol GRC

Punggol GRC

Punggol GRC is without question one of the most hotly watched, followed and contested constituency in...
Should Singapore Be Concerned About David Neo’s “Action-Takers,...

Should Singapore Be Concerned About David Neo’s “Action-Takers,...

Singaporeans should pause and reflect on the recent remark by PAP candidate David Neo, who said that...
Why Singaporeans Must Reconsider the Dismissal of SDP’s...

Why Singaporeans Must Reconsider the Dismissal of SDP’s...

The Singapore government’s blunt assertion that the Singapore Democratic Party (SDP)’s proposals...
Expect the exchange of barbs in politics

Expect the exchange of barbs in politics

In a political contest, expect the exchange of barbs. And we do not lack any of it in the rallies held...
Don't Be Swayed by the Noise—Think Critically Before...

Don't Be Swayed by the Noise—Think Critically Before...

In recent weeks, the political buzz in Singapore has reached a new high. Massive crowds at opposition...
We vote whoever is deserving of our vote

We vote whoever is deserving of our vote

I am surprised that Lee Hsien Loong chose to remind us of the 1997 shameful episode when he, his father...
The Case for a Diverse and Balanced Parliament

The Case for a Diverse and Balanced Parliament

The Singapore government has recently stated that "Good government needs good people" and cautioned against...
Letters
Podcasts didn't decide GE2025

Podcasts didn't decide GE2025

I refer to the CNA’s Commentary: Podcasts didn't decide GE2025, but they changed how Singaporeans engage...
GE2025: Stunning victory for PAP

GE2025: Stunning victory for PAP

I refer to the CNA’s report, “GE2025: Stunning victory for PAP, winning 87 of 97 seats with higher...
Is a Parliament full of PAP MPs really better for Singaporeans?

Is a Parliament full of PAP MPs really better for Singaporeans?

I refer to The Online Citizen GE2025 news report, “Lee Hsien Yang: Is a Parliament full of PAP MPs...
GE2025: Red Dot United to contest in Holland-Bukit...

GE2025: Red Dot United to contest in Holland-Bukit...

I refer to the CNA news, “GE2025: Red Dot United to contest in Holland-Bukit Timah GRC but may make...
GE2025: Why Singapore's high-flying bureaucrats are...

GE2025: Why Singapore's high-flying bureaucrats are...

I refer to CNA’s news, “GE2025: Why Singapore's high-flying bureaucrats are recruited into politics”...
More than 2.75 million Singaporeans eligible to vote...

More than 2.75 million Singaporeans eligible to vote...

I refer to The CNA’s News, “GE2025: More than 2.75 million Singaporeans eligible to vote” (Mar...
How the end of Ukraine war could be secured, even with...

How the end of Ukraine war could be secured, even with...

I refer to the CNA’s commentaries, “How the end of Ukraine war could be secured, even with waning...
Singapore Army Recruits Deserve a Minimum Wage

Singapore Army Recruits Deserve a Minimum Wage

Singapore Army Recruits Deserve a Minimum Wage: National Service Should Not Come at the Expense of Opportunity...
Snippets
Singapore’s Sports Industry: A Rising Powerhouse...

Singapore’s Sports Industry: A Rising Powerhouse...

Singapore’s sports industry is on the cusp of greatness, leveraging cutting-edge infrastructure and...
What are the most popular hobbies in Singapore in 2025?

What are the most popular hobbies in Singapore in 2025?

As work-life balance remains a constant talking point in the fast-paced city-state of Singapore, residents...
10 Most Popular Mobile Games in Singapore

10 Most Popular Mobile Games in Singapore

Singaporeans can't get enough of their phones these days, spending tons of time battling opponents, building...
Langkawi to Koh Lipe Ferry: Complete Travel Guide

Langkawi to Koh Lipe Ferry: Complete Travel Guide

Planning a tropical escape from Malaysia to Thailand? The journey from Langkawi to Koh Lipe offers a...
This is not a game of cards

This is not a game of cards

I can appreciate parties wanting to hold their cards close to their chest, but the smoke and mirrors...
𝐈𝐧𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐝...

𝐈𝐧𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐝...

Is the PAP of today exceptional, with unmatched competence and delivery? Afterall, that is their justification...
The sleep science revolution in elite sports

The sleep science revolution in elite sports

Professional sports have entered a new era where recovery science directly impacts performance outcomes....
Sports Betting in Online Casinos as a Way to Improve...

Sports Betting in Online Casinos as a Way to Improve...

In today's world, online sports betting has become not only a popular form of entertainment but also...
Sticky & Recent Articles

Singapore elderly cleaner bullied by PRC hawkers!

Singapore elderly cleaner bullied by PRC hawkers!

From our Correspondent A thread started by a forumer using the moniker of "Sinostar" about a scene he witnessed at Ang Mo Kio Central hawker center on Channel News Asia forum has attracted over 3,000 views so far! He wrote that as he was queuing up at the Pontian Wanton Mee stall last Wednesday, he witnessed the three PRC lady stallholders scolding a Singapore elderly man who is employed by the hawker centre cleaning contractor. They scolded him for being too slow, never clearing plates fast, and never wiping their stall trays clean as well as a host of other complaints. The forumer said that though he was unsure who was in the wrong, it pains him to see a local being scolded by foreigners. "Imagine if he is your old man! And why is he still working at this age and suffer daily....to earn a living? pay flats? heathcare? and support the family?" he wrote.  He also claimed he had witnessed parents of foreigners who wandered in HDB estates to compete with locals "for cardboards and other stuff to sell to garang guni." The thread attracted a torrent of responses most of which are critical of the government. Lean wrote sarcastically: "Soon our grandparents and parents who are not so educated have to work for PRC bosses in cleaning, washing dishes, delivery and store keeping. Happy Golden Years, best work until dead." Liubei added: "In PRC. at this old age the old people are enjoying life not work.......this is pathetic for Singaporeans" His views were corroborated by coolwater: "you are correct. My PRC friend told me, their parents at China home town is enjoying life. The old folk here is still working. Sad. And this is not life. We really need to work till our last day. What the *censored* they holding our cpf for. When we can't stand already than give us? For *censored*, brother also can't stand lo." Starlene shared her experience with PRC workers: "Witnessed at most food courts-daytime are staffed with younger workers-male and female from PRCs while at time the shift job,the poor old locals takeover because the PRCs find other works-now most HDB flats are rented out to PRCs and they in turn sublet again-most of them gather garbage to sell to rag and bone man. Never rent yr properties to PRCs-they always sublet to recover their cost,give reasons distant relatives stay with them for the night-slow in collecting rentals,then most suddenly disappear overnight with your electrical items too."   Molvis is clear where the root of the problem lies: "This is what happen when the top men enjoy high salary, they are so high up there that they can't even see the lower realm of problem...those that are not in the masses are usually the ones suffer in silence, because govt only look at those represened in bigger groups. In deed, our elderly should be enjoying their life now, and not slog till they died.....is this what a 1st world country should be or Singapore is still a 3rd world country? If anyone has a link to any website or intend to set up one to blacklist all these stalls, do share out so that we can help to boycott them...." Singapore's population has just crossed the 5 million-mark which is largely due to the government's liberal immigration policies to encourage foreigners especially those from China and India to settle in Singapore. The relentless influx of foreigners had led to the depressing of wages for the lower income workers and sky-rocketing of prices of HDB flats. The disgruntlement on the ground against the government's policies was reflected in the public furore over a Singapore PR and Chinese national Zhang Yuanyuan who proclaimed her loyalty to China publicly on Chinese TV. While the mainstream media and PAP MPs are quick to jump to her defence by highlighting the fact that she is only a Singapore PR and not a citizen, netizens question why she even qualified for PR in the first place. Ms Zhang, who had only a diploma from an unknown institution in China, came to Singapore in 2003 on a student's pass to study English after which she found work as a Chinese teacher. She obtained her PR within 2 months of application. Neither the Home Affairs Ministry of the Immigration and Checkpoint Authority have explained why Ms Zhang was granted a PR in double-quick time though she is not considered a skilled worker. Previously, only skilled workers and qualified professionals are offered to take up Singapore PRs and citizenships, but nowadays it appears that semi-skilled and even unskilled workers can obtain PRs with relative ease. It will not come as a surprise if the three PRC hawkers who were alleged to be bullying the Singapore elderly cleaner turned out to be PRs too!   Comments source: CNA Forum   Related articles: >> State media: citizens have more rights over PRs >> Zhang Yuanyuan got her Singapore PR in only 2 months >> Official reply from government on the Zhang Yuanyuan fiasco >> Singapore PRC PR proclaimed loyalty to China publicly >> PRC resident hung China flag to celebrate its National Day >> PRC student in Singapore wants more scholarships for foreigners >> PRC prostitutes solicit for customers on Singapore’s cyberspace >> ERA: 40 per cent of resale flats buyers are PRs   EDITORS’ NOTE: If you like our work and would like to support us, please transfer your donations via paypal to our account ([email protected]). Any amount will be greatly appreciated! Alternatively, you can also help boost our advertising revenue by clicking on the ads displayed. Thank you! Join our tweet at: http://www.twitter.com/temasekreview  Read More →

Hong Kong: Protesters demand action on cheaper housing

Hong Kong: Protesters demand action on cheaper housing

By Celine Sung from South China Morning Post The Hong Kong government is facing mounting calls from political parties and residents to resume regular land auctions and Home Ownership Scheme (HOS) flat construction to deal with surging housing prices.Among the voices were those of about 100 pan-democratic party members and ordinary residents, who marched from Chater Garden to Government House in Central yesterday to express their discontent. The protestors said property prices had gone up by 30 to 40 per cent this year, while their income had remained unchanged or even fallen amid the economic downturn. Former medical sector legislator Dr Kwok Ka-ki, one of the organisers, criticised the government for failing to respond to the needs of low and medium-income families wanting to own their own flats. “People’s discontent is growing,” he said. “If the government keeps ignoring this problem, it’s like a bomb that will explode one day.” Also at the protest were Democratic legislators Lee Wing-tat and Emily Lau Wai-hing, social welfare legislator Peter Cheung Kwok-che and Confederation of Trade Unions legislator Lee Cheuk-yan. They insisted the government increase the land supply for low and medium-price residential buildings, and resume HOS flat construction. The HOS, suspended in 2002 to help stabilise the property market, allows households too poor to afford private housing, to buy flats at subsidised prices. Yesterday the Democratic Alliance for the Betterment and Progress of Hong Kong also urged the government to resume building HOS flats. Party chairman Tam Yiu-chung said: “We believe this will not have a big impact on the private property market, because there is an income cap on buyers, and not everyone is allowed to buy HOS flats.” Read rest of the article on East Asia Review  Read More →

Irish Luck had ran out – But are we on the same route to disaster?

Irish Luck had ran out – But are we on the same route to disaster?

By Damon Yeo, Business Correspondent Earlier this year, a joke conjured up by some twisted economists became popular online. It goes something like, “What is the difference between Iceland and Ireland? An alphabet and about six months.” This joke surfaced just months after the entire Icelandic economy and banking system collapsed on the weight of the financial crisis. With the power of hindsight, it can be said that while Ireland’s collapse was never as spectacular as Iceland’s, the Irish economy is still one of the worst hit in Europe. This article is not going to identify the differences between the Icelandic and Irish economy, rather, it will attempt to retrace the Irish path to disaster and highlight the similarities between current state of the Singapore’s economy and that of Ireland just before its crash to ground. A Spitting Image Historically, Ireland and Singapore both share a British colonial past. Both were equally important to the British at the height of her empire. Ireland was key because of her close proximity to the British Isles, while Singapore was important as a trading port and as a symbol of British might in the Far East. The economic miracle of the Republic of Ireland began in sometime during the 1990s. A period of unprecedented growth during the decade earned Ireland the nickname “Celtic Tiger”. The nation suffered a slight blip in terms of economic growth in 2001 as it felt the pain of the internet dotcom burst. Recovery was brisk for the tiny republic of 4.46million as growth rates returned to an average of 5% up till 2006. It adopted the Euro in 1999 and the currency soared against all major currencies, appreciating almost 41% to reach €1 to US$1.58 in April last year. Without the abundance of natural resources, the growth of the Irish economy was by and large driven by the high-tech and services sector. With development funds from the European Union and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), the government invested heavily in education and the nation pride herself as one of the most highly educated in Europe. By 2006, GDP per capita was US$41,000 in Ireland, making her one of the richest nations in the world. Despite the meteoric economic bloom, the rich-poor divide in the country widened dramatically. The Gini co-efficient reached 30.4, just slightly lower than the Organisation of Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) group average. The economic miracle of the Republic of Singapore began sometime during the 1980s. A period of unprecedented growth during the decade earned Singapore the nickname as one of the four “Asian Tigers”. The nation suffered a slight blip in terms of economic growth in 1998 as it felt the pain of the Asian Financial Crisis. Recovery was brisk for the tiny republic of 4.98million as growth rates returned to an average of 5% up till 2008. The Singapore Dollar soared against all major currencies, appreciating almost 21% to reach S$1.36 to US$1 in April last year. Without the abundance of natural resources, the growth of the Singapore economy was by and large driven by the high-tech and services sector. With budget surplus and FDI, the government invested heavily in education and the nation pride herself as one of the most highly educated in Asia. By 2008, GDP per capita was $52,000, making her one of the richest nations in the world. Despite the meteoric economic bloom, the rich-poor divide in the country widened dramatically. The Gini co-efficient reached 48.4, just slightly higher than the global average. The Irish Boom As Ireland rode on its newfound prosperity, trouble was brewing in the background but no one could care less. A property bubble had been building up in Dublin and no one felt the need to apply the brakes. Between 1993 and 2007, residential property prices increased year-on-year. Between 2000 and 2006, house prices in Dublin actually tripled. There are many schools of thought on what actually drove these surge in house prices. One of most undisputed theories was the “feel good factor”. The fact that property valuations were steadily increasing tended to create a systematic feedback loop, where rising prices affected the psychology of market participants, causing further increases in prices. Over this period of time, the Irish also government implemented a competitive pay structure for all civil servants, benchmarking their pay to the private sector. This only added to the feel good factor as more entered the property market with wads of cash and ready to splurge. Windfall earned by Irish citizens through selling of property prices at record prices enabled more of them to participate again in the property market, snapping up new properties in hope of making quick profits. As early as 2000, the IMF had noted that Irish properties were wildly overvalued. Leading economists and even the Irish officials admitted that the housing boom was probably unsustainable, but the Irish government did almost nothing to curb this trend, as they depended on the large amounts of the property tax for revenue. The Irish Aftermath Of course, it all came crashing down for the Irish in mid-2007. House prices first showed signs of reaching a plateau, before experiencing a monthly dip of 0.3% in March 2007. The house price index in Ireland has not recovered since and by the first quarter of 2009, property prices had slipped by 23% and loan approvals for home-buyers had fallen by 73%. Like every recorded asset bubble burst, this has far-reaching effects on the economy. Unemployment shot up to 11.4% by mid-2009 as many construction projects froze. Several leading Irish banks ran into liquidity and solvency problems as many start to default on house loans granted to them just a couple of years back. This eventually forced the Irish government to provide state guarantees to many of their banks to restore confidence in the banking system. Overall, the economy contracted by an alarming 8.5% in Q1 2009. Recovery is likely to be slower and more painful for the Irish compared to her counterparts in the Eurozone. Budget deficit in 2009 rose to 10% of GDP as the government struggles to match its expenditure and revenue. In mid-June, Standard & Poor’s downgraded Ireland to AA in debt rating – down two notches from its AAA-rating in less than a year. The similarities between the Ireland just before the asset bubble burst and the current situation in Singapore need no further elaboration. Without government intervention, the difference between Ireland and Singapore will be the spelling of the countries’ names and about six months. (All information sourced from Wikipedia) Other articles by Damon Yeo: >> The new Kallang Sports hub: To built or not to be built >> Formula One: A gold mine or a gold-digger? >> DBS and a series of ‘unfortunate events’ >>  Sale of Chartered – An anatomy About the Author: Damon is a proud graduate of Nanyang Technological University in 2004 with a degree in Accountancy. He is currently working in the finance department of a UK Bank. He is also a regular contributor at redsports.sg.  Read More →

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