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Trump blinked again on tariffs, but China isn't in the clearTrump blinked again on tariffs, but China isn't in the clear I refer to the CNA’s Commentary: Trump blinked again on tariffs, but China isn't in the clear. (May 15) One deniable fact: There are no winners on either side (between China and the United States) in the trade and tariff war. Yet, Trump still persists to do it. It is not surprising that Trump has increased China's...

Podcasts didn't decide GE2025Podcasts didn't decide GE2025 I refer to the CNA’s Commentary: Podcasts didn't decide GE2025, but they changed how Singaporeans engage with politics (May 9). The 2025 General Election has several features/characteristics that deserve our attention, discussion and reflection: In today era, technological revolution, innovation and advancement...

GE2025: Stunning victory for PAPGE2025: Stunning victory for PAP I refer to the CNA’s report, “GE2025: Stunning victory for PAP, winning 87 of 97 seats with higher national vote share in PM Wong's first electoral test” (May 4). GE2025 has clearly delivered the following key messages/notes from the vast majority of voters: The Workers’ Party (WP) has done a fantastic good...

This is not a game of cardsThis is not a game of cards I can appreciate parties wanting to hold their cards close to their chest, but the smoke and mirrors games on nominations day, the shuffling of the DPM from a seat he had openly been declared to be defending, and other ministers shuffling constituencies leaves one feeling the PAP thinks it is playing a game of cards. Constituency...

Is a Parliament full of PAP MPs really better for Singaporeans?Is a Parliament full of PAP MPs really better for Singaporeans? I refer to The Online Citizen GE2025 news report, “Lee Hsien Yang: Is a Parliament full of PAP MPs really better for Singaporeans?” - (April 14), and “The Straits Times’ report, “GE2025: Singaporeans will go to the polls on May 3, Nomination Day on April 23” (April 15), and The Online Citizen GE2025 report,...

𝐈𝐧𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐧𝐞𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐀𝐜𝐜𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐛𝐢𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐲𝐈𝐧𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐝... Is the PAP of today exceptional, with unmatched competence and delivery? Afterall, that is their justification for the highest salaries in the world. Let’s look at its more recent track record. Large numbers of NRIC numbers were recently unmasked, leaving Singaporeans exposed to identity theft, fraud, abuse and scams....

GE2025: Red Dot United to contest in Holland-Bukit TimahGE2025: Red Dot United to contest in Holland-Bukit Timah I refer to the CNA news, “GE2025: Red Dot United to contest in Holland-Bukit Timah GRC but may make way for Singapore Democratic Party” (April 10), “More opposition 'star catches' are emerging. Is Singapore's political scene maturing?” (April 10) and “PSP says government response to Trump tariffs 'overblown',...

GE2025: Why Singapore's high-flying bureaucrats are recruited into politicsGE2025: Why Singapore's high-flying bureaucrats are recruited... I refer to CNA’s news, “GE2025: Why Singapore's high-flying bureaucrats are recruited into politics” (Mar 28). It is not surprised to notice that in recent weeks, two NMPs and top ministry officials have resigned, fuelling speculation they could be fielded as potential candidates for the ruling People's Action...

More than 2.75 million Singaporeans eligible to vote in GE2025More than 2.75 million Singaporeans eligible to vote in GE2025 I refer to The CNA’s News, “GE2025: More than 2.75 million Singaporeans eligible to vote” (Mar 25). As Singapore’s General Election is due to be held within this year, the following factors will more or less influence the election situation this year: A)The general mentality of voters Voters are generally...

How the end of Ukraine war could be secured, even with waning US supportHow the end of Ukraine war could be secured, even with waning... I refer to the CNA’s commentaries, “How the end of Ukraine war could be secured, even with waning US support” (Mar 4), “Lessons from the Trump-Zelenskyy meltdown- for friends and foes” (Mar 1) and “Will Trump tariffs push China to change economic tack?” (Mar 3). Foremost, we need to recognise the reality...

Singapore Army Recruits Deserve a Minimum WageSingapore Army Recruits Deserve a Minimum Wage Singapore Army Recruits Deserve a Minimum Wage: National Service Should Not Come at the Expense of Opportunity Costs Singapore’s National Service (NS) has long been a cornerstone of the nation’s defense, requiring young men to dedicate two years of their lives to military, civil defense, or police service. While...

Trump-Putin deal on Ukraine will be Europe’s moment of reckoningTrump-Putin deal on Ukraine will be Europe’s moment of... I refer to the CNA’s Commentaries, “Trump-Putin deal on Ukraine will be Europe’s moment of reckoning” (Feb 20) and “Ukraine can survive with the ‘least worst’ peace” (Feb 22). Now, In the eyes of European Union, they have lost trust and confidence in the United States, it is solely due to the flip flop...

From Deepseek to Huawei, US tech restrictions on China are backfiringFrom Deepseek to Huawei, US tech restrictions on China are... I refer to the CNA’s Commentary, “From Deepseek to Huawei, US tech restrictions on China are backfiring” (Jan 31). Would it be practical, useful and effective for the United States to continually pursue an aggressive containment strategy to hobble China’s tech push? Undoubtedly, the answer is obviously not. There...

Don't get distracted by Trump's outlandish Cabinet picksDon't get distracted by Trump's outlandish Cabinet picks I refer to the CNA’s Commentary: “Don't get distracted by Trump's outlandish Cabinet picks” (Nov 25), and “'No one will win a trade war’, China says after Trump tariff threat” (Nov 26). As everyone knows, U.S. President-elect Donald Trump will return to power on January 20, 2025. Trump has dismissed...

Putin escalates Ukraine warPutin escalates Ukraine war I refer to The CNA’s Commentary: “Putin escalates Ukraine war by a step, not a leap, with missile experiment” (Nov 23). Foremost, Zelenskyi’s intention to join Nato has greatly threatened the security and survival of Russia. Hence, Zelenskyy has offended Putin and Putin has no choice but to launch a war with...

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Editorials
Strong hailstorm strikes China's Xi'an causing airport...

Strong hailstorm strikes China's Xi'an causing airport...

On the evening of May 8, Xi’an, the capital city of China’s Shaanxi Province, was struck by a powerful...
Four parties lost their election deposits in GE2025

Four parties lost their election deposits in GE2025

A total of four opposition parties, the Singapore United Party (SUP), People's Power Party (PPP), People’s...
Level 16 super typhoon devastates multiple cities in...

Level 16 super typhoon devastates multiple cities in...

Northern China was hit by an extreme weather event on Thursday as a massive cold front swept south, colliding...
Level 15 winds destroy buildings rooftops and cause...

Level 15 winds destroy buildings rooftops and cause...

On April 30, northern China was struck by an extreme weather event as a massive cold vortex surged southward,...
TR Emeritus to 'shut-up' on 2nd May 2025

TR Emeritus to 'shut-up' on 2nd May 2025

Please be informed that TR Emeritus (TRE) will shut down its comment function site-wide at 0000 hours...
Chaos in China as extreme storm destroys homes and...

Chaos in China as extreme storm destroys homes and...

Beijing’s 22 million residents were asked to stay indoors on Saturday, as powerful winds swept across...
China, Thailand, and Myanmar in ruins after devastating...

China, Thailand, and Myanmar in ruins after devastating...

On March 28, 2025, a devastating 7.7-magnitude earthquake struck central Myanmar near Mandalay, causing...
Myanmar 7.7 earthquake collapses buildings in Thailand,...

Myanmar 7.7 earthquake collapses buildings in Thailand,...

A powerful 7.7 magnitude earthquake struck central Myanmar on March 28, 2025, causing widespread panic...
Beijing shocked by earthquake and mega sandstorm

Beijing shocked by earthquake and mega sandstorm

Since March 24, 2025, northern China has been battling extreme weather as a massive sandstorm swept through...
Mega hail causes mass destruction in Fujian and Guangdong

Mega hail causes mass destruction in Fujian and Guangdong

An unexpected and severe hailstorm struck multiple cities in Guangdong and Fujian between March 3 and...
Extreme weather struck multiple regions in China

Extreme weather struck multiple regions in China

On March 2, 2025, extreme weather struck multiple regions in China, with parts of Henan province experiencing...
Happy Chinese New Year 2025

Happy Chinese New Year 2025

Wishing all our Chinese readers:     Team@TR Emeritus  
Huge snow caused numerous disruptions on China's major...

Huge snow caused numerous disruptions on China's major...

As the Chinese New Year approaches, millions of people across the country are making their annual journey...
The rapidly spreading HMPV virus you haven’t heard...

The rapidly spreading HMPV virus you haven’t heard...

Human Metapneumovirus (HMPV) is making headlines as cases surge, especially among children and vulnerable...
4.1 magnitude earthquake shakes Shanxi's Linfeng city

4.1 magnitude earthquake shakes Shanxi's Linfeng city

On the evening of January 10, 2025, Linfen City in Shanxi Province was struck by an earthquake. The tremor,...
7.8 magnitude earthquake devastates Tibet

7.8 magnitude earthquake devastates Tibet

A magnitude 7.1 earthquake has hit Tibet, in the region of Shigatse, which is near the border with Nepal. According...
Outbreak of mystery virus in China

Outbreak of mystery virus in China

China is r eportedly facing a new health crisis as the human metapneumovirus (HMPV) outbreak rapidly...
Unknown Virus Rampages in China; Hospitals Utterly...

Unknown Virus Rampages in China; Hospitals Utterly...

A blogger in China has shared a video, claiming that this isn’t China’s Spring Festival travel rush;...
Opinions
The three of threes about DPM Heng Swee Kiat

The three of threes about DPM Heng Swee Kiat

The first part of the threes is about the when, the how and the why? And it is about his retirement...
我们是否该重新思考国防开支的优先顺序?

我们是否该重新思考国防开支的优先顺序?

新加坡政府近日宣布将采购两艘额外的“无畏级”潜艇,引发了一个重要问题:我们的国防力量,到底需要多强? 毫无疑问,一个强大且可信的军队对于保障国家主权与威慑潜在威胁是不可或缺的。新加坡地处战略要冲,国土面积有限,因此需要一支现代化的武装部队。然而,当我们对比邻国——马来西亚拥有两艘潜艇、印尼正逐步扩展至十二艘——新加坡在水下战力上已处于领先地位。这不禁让人质疑,我们是否正引领着一场无声的区域军备竞赛? 问题在于:当威慑的需求被满足后,继续扩军是否已经超出必要? 一艘“无畏级”潜艇的估价超过十亿新元,还不包括长期的运营与维护成本。这两艘新潜艇的资金,若能转用于迫切的民生需求,例如医疗保健、老龄化支援、教育及弱势群体扶助,或许对社会的整体韧性更具意义。 政府一再强调国防开支是经过审慎规划的,但当生活成本日益上升,政府却仍需将消费税(Gst)提高至9%甚至更多,这种矛盾不禁令人困惑。如果某些战略性国防项目能够延后或循序推进,节省下来的资源是否可以用于社会发展呢? “全面防卫”不仅仅是硬件实力,更是要赢得人民的心与信任。让人民感到安心、有保障、受到重视,这种安全感无法靠潜艇来衡量,而是通过每一位国人的生活实感体现出来。 这并非是在呼吁削弱我们的国防,而是呼吁我们重新思考国家的优先事项。当我们继续推进军事现代化的同时,也不要忽视同样重要的任务——巩固社会契约、增强国民凝聚力。   Cwc-Ai  
Cutting down reliance on US military equipment

Cutting down reliance on US military equipment

There is a rampant rumor going around that claims Egypt has ordered 48 J10C with a price tag of USD$25B...
2025大选—明确授权,变化中的政治格局

2025大选—明确授权,变化中的政治格局

2025年大选结果无可争议,政府再次赢得了强有力的授权,稳固了其在新加坡政治格局中的主导地位。尽管选举结果并不令人意外,但胜利的过程却并非没有争议和复杂性。 值得注意的是,选区划分的变化在本次选战中发挥了重要作用。陈清木医生与徐顺全医生等资深反对派人物,因选区重划而受到显著影响——传统支持基础被分割或并入他区,无疑左右了某些关键选区的最终结果。虽然选区调整在新加坡选举历史上并不罕见,但其公平性与透明度仍持续引发讨论。 工人党虽稳守东北区的传统堡垒,但未能在本届大选中攻下新的选区。不过,该党仍获得两个非选区议员(Ncmp)席位,虽属安慰性质,却在象征意义上维持了国会内多元声音的存在。 更值得关注的是,本届大选所处的人口背景正经历剧烈变化。新加坡人口从2000年的约300万增长至2025年的超过500万。考虑到多年来出生率持续偏低,这一增长几乎可以肯定主要归因于移民流入,尤其可能在华人群体中增长显著。这一趋势对国家的社会结构和政治生态产生了深远影响。 展望2030年大选,各政党不仅要面对一如既往的选区调整与突发的全球事件,更需正视一个不断演变的社会结构。随着越来越多新移民成为国民,选民构成日益多元,政党在政策制定与信息传递上必须更具包容性与前瞻性。他们必须同时争取老一代公民与新加坡新公民的认同,回应共同关切,并跨越代际与文化差异的鸿沟。 在新加坡持续向前迈进的过程中,其政治也必须与时俱进——反映日益多元的人口现实,同时坚守国家的核心价值观:团结、韧性与务实。 Cwc-Ai
A jaw-dropping election

A jaw-dropping election

This is a jaw-dropping election. For the opposition. SDP’s Dr Chee and PSP’s Leong were deeply disappointed....
The Nation has rejected multi-party Parliamentary representation

The Nation has rejected multi-party Parliamentary representation

Our party suffered great losses and I personally have suffered the greatest hit. But these personal losses...
A False Analogy That Insults the Intelligence of Singaporeans

A False Analogy That Insults the Intelligence of Singaporeans

Minister Ong Ye Kung’s recent assertion that a “co-driver” bears no responsibility if a car crashes...
There is a cost to losing

There is a cost to losing

There is a cost to losing. At least in PAP’s books. And one of the costs is a policy of priority. That...
Hougang Belongs to the People

Hougang Belongs to the People

Thank You for the Reminder, Mr Marshall Lim. It is with no small measure of amusement that one reads...
Its all about trust

Its all about trust

Dr Ng Eng Hen from PAP has pointed out the most important key point about this General Elections, it...
Misunderstanding What Singaporeans Truly Expect from...

Misunderstanding What Singaporeans Truly Expect from...

The government's repeated assertion that it is "easy for the opposition to ask the government to give...
Punggol GRC

Punggol GRC

Punggol GRC is without question one of the most hotly watched, followed and contested constituency in...
Should Singapore Be Concerned About David Neo’s “Action-Takers,...

Should Singapore Be Concerned About David Neo’s “Action-Takers,...

Singaporeans should pause and reflect on the recent remark by PAP candidate David Neo, who said that...
Why Singaporeans Must Reconsider the Dismissal of SDP’s...

Why Singaporeans Must Reconsider the Dismissal of SDP’s...

The Singapore government’s blunt assertion that the Singapore Democratic Party (SDP)’s proposals...
Expect the exchange of barbs in politics

Expect the exchange of barbs in politics

In a political contest, expect the exchange of barbs. And we do not lack any of it in the rallies held...
Don't Be Swayed by the Noise—Think Critically Before...

Don't Be Swayed by the Noise—Think Critically Before...

In recent weeks, the political buzz in Singapore has reached a new high. Massive crowds at opposition...
We vote whoever is deserving of our vote

We vote whoever is deserving of our vote

I am surprised that Lee Hsien Loong chose to remind us of the 1997 shameful episode when he, his father...
The Case for a Diverse and Balanced Parliament

The Case for a Diverse and Balanced Parliament

The Singapore government has recently stated that "Good government needs good people" and cautioned against...
Letters
Trump blinked again on tariffs, but China isn't in...

Trump blinked again on tariffs, but China isn't in...

I refer to the CNA’s Commentary: Trump blinked again on tariffs, but China isn't in the clear. (May...
Podcasts didn't decide GE2025

Podcasts didn't decide GE2025

I refer to the CNA’s Commentary: Podcasts didn't decide GE2025, but they changed how Singaporeans engage...
GE2025: Stunning victory for PAP

GE2025: Stunning victory for PAP

I refer to the CNA’s report, “GE2025: Stunning victory for PAP, winning 87 of 97 seats with higher...
Is a Parliament full of PAP MPs really better for Singaporeans?

Is a Parliament full of PAP MPs really better for Singaporeans?

I refer to The Online Citizen GE2025 news report, “Lee Hsien Yang: Is a Parliament full of PAP MPs...
GE2025: Red Dot United to contest in Holland-Bukit...

GE2025: Red Dot United to contest in Holland-Bukit...

I refer to the CNA news, “GE2025: Red Dot United to contest in Holland-Bukit Timah GRC but may make...
GE2025: Why Singapore's high-flying bureaucrats are...

GE2025: Why Singapore's high-flying bureaucrats are...

I refer to CNA’s news, “GE2025: Why Singapore's high-flying bureaucrats are recruited into politics”...
More than 2.75 million Singaporeans eligible to vote...

More than 2.75 million Singaporeans eligible to vote...

I refer to The CNA’s News, “GE2025: More than 2.75 million Singaporeans eligible to vote” (Mar...
How the end of Ukraine war could be secured, even with...

How the end of Ukraine war could be secured, even with...

I refer to the CNA’s commentaries, “How the end of Ukraine war could be secured, even with waning...
Snippets
Singapore’s Sports Industry: A Rising Powerhouse...

Singapore’s Sports Industry: A Rising Powerhouse...

Singapore’s sports industry is on the cusp of greatness, leveraging cutting-edge infrastructure and...
What are the most popular hobbies in Singapore in 2025?

What are the most popular hobbies in Singapore in 2025?

As work-life balance remains a constant talking point in the fast-paced city-state of Singapore, residents...
10 Most Popular Mobile Games in Singapore

10 Most Popular Mobile Games in Singapore

Singaporeans can't get enough of their phones these days, spending tons of time battling opponents, building...
Langkawi to Koh Lipe Ferry: Complete Travel Guide

Langkawi to Koh Lipe Ferry: Complete Travel Guide

Planning a tropical escape from Malaysia to Thailand? The journey from Langkawi to Koh Lipe offers a...
This is not a game of cards

This is not a game of cards

I can appreciate parties wanting to hold their cards close to their chest, but the smoke and mirrors...
𝐈𝐧𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐝...

𝐈𝐧𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐝...

Is the PAP of today exceptional, with unmatched competence and delivery? Afterall, that is their justification...
The sleep science revolution in elite sports

The sleep science revolution in elite sports

Professional sports have entered a new era where recovery science directly impacts performance outcomes....
Sports Betting in Online Casinos as a Way to Improve...

Sports Betting in Online Casinos as a Way to Improve...

In today's world, online sports betting has become not only a popular form of entertainment but also...
Sticky & Recent Articles

The pandemic has exposed the dark underbelly of Singapore

The pandemic has exposed the dark underbelly of Singapore

The pandemic has exposed the dark underbelly of our country, the 8th richest in the world in 2021 according to IMF. The cleaner who was first infected in the airport cluster is an 88-year-old Singaporean. Most of his Singaporean colleagues who were likewise infected are in their 50s, 60s, 70s and 80s. The younger cleaners are mostly foreigners. I also recall, from reading the daily Covid cases, that quite a few Singaporeans are working two jobs and one man is even working three jobs, presumably, to make ends meet and not for exercise. Of course, there are the usual Grab drivers and delivery personnel. Why are citizens in the 8th richest country exposing themselves to Covid-19 in their twilight years and holding more than one job to make ends meet? A major factor has got to be the excessive emphasis and power that the PAP government has bestowed on big business. Employment and labour laws have been amended to favour investors, agreements in the form of FTAs have been signed to guarantee foreign investors their rights, immigration has been relaxed to drive down wages, ministers and MPs are sitting on the boards of many big businesses while formulating laws in Parliament, among others. The end result has been that employees have little to no bargaining power vis-a-vis employers and are thus squeezed to the last penny. Then there is the incessant greed to chase every business opportunity. It is fine if we have excess resources but quite another when all resources are fully utilized. Given our limited size, to generate the GDP that we do, we have to import many foreigners as well as exert huge inflationary pressure on limited resources like land, resulting in a never ending increase in the cost of living. Although our GDP is high, only a relatively small proportion goes to the Singaporean worker in the form of wages. The rest goes to foreigners and investors. With the increasing cost of living, it is hardly surprising older folks can’t enjoy retirement but have to work, even at lowly jobs to make ends meet. We may read with quiet unease during this pandemic, that fellow Singaporeans are exposing themselves to Covid while struggling to make ends meet, but if we don’t voice out for change, the same fate may befall us. Why would an employer employ a retrenched mid-career executive when he can employ a younger foreigner, perhaps at lower cost? What rights does the Singaporean worker has when the labour union is sleeping with the enemy? Why would our CPF be sufficient for retirement given the incessant inflationary pressure? If we don’t voice out for change, we have only ourselves to blame. We have been warned.   Foong Swee Fong      Read More →

Falling TFR problems

Falling TFR problems

I have read in CNA online news yesterday that China has announced a major policy shift, ie, it will allow couples to have up to 3 children after census data showed steep decline in birth rates. China scrapped its decades old one child policy in 2016 replacing it with 2 child limit which has failed to lead to sustained upsurge in births. Just look at China. As far as tackling their declining total fertility rates (TFR) issues is concerned, they have so much to teach our greedy, lazy and sleeping pap ministars. Let me explain. Despite having a population of over 1,400 million people, their attitudes toward their declining TFR is world's apart from our millionaire pap ministars. It was only in 2016, just 5 years ago that Chinese couples were allowed to have a second child and once their census data confirmed that the policy wasn't achieving the intended results, they move swiftly and firmly to address it, totally unlike the complacent and very well-fed pap ministars who sat on our declining TFR challenges for years and years... Now, many years later and looking back, it has become so clear to more and more people that they had not only neglected our falling TFR problems, their decision to opt for mass importation of foreigners to prop up our declining population was such easy and lazy solution totally oblivious to how such policies and their accompanying social costs and ills will extract and impact our society and how our people will have to bear them in the years ahead and by the time some of those social and national ills show up and hit us in our face, some of those ministers might have bitten the dust while others would be enjoying their millions and their more good years in retirement somewhere. Today, as far as salvaging our TFR is concerned, we are as good as done. Our original identity, the familiarity, the kampong spirits among our different races and the fabric of our society etc will be diluted over time and maybe beyond recognition. Native Singaporeans' loyalty to this place that we call home will ebbed and foreigners will treat this place as a springboard to greener pasteurs elsewhere all thanks to a bunch of useless and much hyped up pap scholars and general leadership. To my sucker friends and you know who you are, what do you all suckers think? Think.   Simon Lim      Read More →

Limits Of The Heavy Hand

Limits Of The Heavy Hand

There’s a joke in Singapore, which has become something of a bade of National Pride. We call ourselves as “Fine City,” because you can get finned for a host of infringements. As well as fines, we famously hang drug traffickers and we cane vandals. Lee Kuan Yew, the first Prime Minister of Independent Singapore took great pride in having strict rules. As far as he was concerned, he needed to be harsh because it made Singapore the clean, green and rich place that the world admires. Being harsh is a great political cover too. What better way to show the people that our government is not a Western stooge than caning a Western kid for vandalism or hanging one or two for drug trafficking? The respective Western government will make some noises about being concerned about their citizens, our government will then make even more noise about our Asian Values prioritizing social order and stability over the rights of a few hooligans and our ambassador in the country in question will be busy selling the Singapore side of things so as to ensure the Western leaders understand that a portion of their voters’ clap for us. I’m old enough to remember Americans supporting the canning of Michael Faye for vandalism. As a people, we’ve grown used to the heavy hand of the state and it’s almost as if most of us agree with the official position that the heavy hand of the state is necessary for Singapore to be the “celestial kingdom” that it has sold itself to be. However, is that really the case? Is the heavy hand of the state necessary in ensuring prosperity and a decent living environment? I got to admit, I do like the fact that we’re a litter-free place and my estate gets cleaned. Well, to an extent, harsh penalties work up to a certain level. You don’t litter because, well, it’s simply not worth the fine. No high from any drug is worth the prospect of the gallows. However, is it really necessary to have a heavy hand? I noticed our great comfort with the “heavy hand” back in 2006 and 2008. In 2006, the Gaza had one of its exploding moments, particularly as Hamas won the Palestinian elections. In 2008 there was the Beijing Olympics, which was marred in the “democratic” countries where Tibetan protestors made noises as the Olympic Torch was making its way to Beijing. A few friends actually commented to me that they could not understand why the Palestinians and Tibetans were doing what they did because it was pretty obvious, they were not going to win against an opponent who was that much stronger. People were even critical of the Dalai Lama for “Trying to make China look bad.” These moments have remained with me because it gets me questioning whether we’ve become so used to the heavy hand that we’re totally unable to sympathise with people who have been on the wrong end of the heavy stick. I will admit that the comparison is in some ways a hard one to make in as much as they heavy hand they’re under is a “foreign power” displacing them from their home land. However, the examples do make the point that there are limits to the “heavy hand.” Take the Israeli-Palestinian conflict as an example. A “militant” group like Hamas will fire a few rockets at Israel, who will in turn use advanced weaponry on the Gaza strip. Israeli civilians will be scared. A few may die. On the other side thousands will die and the infrastructure of the Gaza strip be set back a few decades. The Western press will trumpet the line that Israel has the right to defend itself. The “liberal” press will talk about the Palestinians being oppressed. I’ll leave the broader discussion to more informed people to continue. However, I will ask the simple question of whether the “heavy hand” of the Israeli military has worked? Hamas was elected in 2006. There have been clashes between the two in 2008, 2010, 2011. 2014, 2018, 2019 and 2021. You would have imagined that after the first few beatings, the Palestinians would have gotten the message that they were not going to win and turned-on Hamas. That clearly hasn’t happened. Israel has a lot of firepower and the residents of the Gaza strip are well aware of that. Yet, they have not become more sympathetic or fearful of Israel or at least fearful enough to get the “militants” to stop provoking Israel. If anything, the only real beneficiary of the bombardment of Palestinian areas are Israeli politicians needing an election boost and the recruitment arm of Hamas and other militant groups as stated in paragraph 75 of the May 2007 end of mission report of Alvaro De Soto, former United Nations Special Coordinator for the Middle East Peace Process. A copy of the De Soto report can be found at here. The Most Effective Way to Recruit Terrorist – Copyright South China Morning Post Let’s make take another military example close to home. The Vietnam War of the 1970s. The Americans dropped more bombs on Vietnam than they did World War II. Yet, the only thing that the world remembers about the Vietnam War is the American’s running away from the top of their embassy. How did this situation happen? The Americans were clearly the superior force (even if the “other side” was aided by North Vietnam, China and Russia – in the same way that militant groups in the Middle East are always aided by Iran) and should solved the problem in a matter of months. Well, you could argue that they got a little over reliant on the single word that General Westmoreland used to sum up his strategy – Firepower (in fairness to the US, there were a few attempts to have “hearts and minds” campaigns but that inevitably played second fiddle to the shock and awe). These military examples have shown that overwhelming force isn’t as effective as effective as we’d might imagine, especially if you’re talking about a side that believes it has nothing to lose by going up against you. The heavy hand only works if it’s combined with something else – namely the buy in from people. There’s the example of the Malayan Conflict of the 1960s. The British did use some harsh techniques. However, they didn’t approach it as a conventional conflict from the beginning and implemented effective intelligence strategies and waged an effective “hearts and minds” campaign. This wins wars as much as heavy firepower -copyright weaponsandwarefare.com I don’t disagree with the heavy hand of the state. Sometimes the situation warrants it. In the current pandemic for example, you do need rules enforced and rule breakers shouldn’t get let off because the rules are there to protect us. However, the harsh heavy hand of the state isn’t going to be enough to make a society safe, clean, green or even viable. Yes, harsh penalties against littering make Singapore clean but they don’t necessarily make Singapore a clean people (back in the day, all you needed to do was to visit Johor where you’d find Singaporeans littering with glee in a place where slipping 50RM – or 15 bucks to the cops fixed things). In the military context, our harsh penalties against littering are like heavy fire power. For better results, we should look at the Bhutanese, who pick up their own litter because they’ve been taught to appreciate their environment. The Bhutanese government works on a “hearts and minds” campaign to get its objectives. Takes longer but in the end its probably more sustainable. The heavy hand of the sate may have uses. However, you cannot rely on that alone to ensure that society functions.   Tang Li *Although I’ve been based mainly in Singapore for nearly two decades, I’ve had the privilege of being able meet people who have crossed borders and cultures. I’ve befriended ministers and ambassadors and worked on projects involving a former head of state. Yet, at the same time, I’ve had the privilege of befriending migrant labourers and former convicts. All of them have a story to tell. All of them add to the fabric of life. I hope to express the stories that inspire us to create life as it should be.      Read More →

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